Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate Seattle's overnight low on August 29 will likely settle in the mid-50s, driven by an approaching frontal system that brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced radiational cooling under marine-influenced air. This setup aligns with seasonal norms near 56°F while limiting deeper drops, though variations in precipitation timing and wind could push readings toward 54–57°F or briefly lower. Trader consensus splits across these bins amid typical late-summer forecast spread, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting the low historical likelihood of sub-50°F readings this time of year absent unusual cold advection. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seattle on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on August 29?
47°F or below 67%
58-59°F 49%
54-55°F 35%
56-57°F 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
47°F or below
67%
48-49°F
23%
50-51°F
19%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
35%
56-57°F
35%
58-59°F
49%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
16%
66°F or higher
8%
47°F or below 67%
58-59°F 49%
54-55°F 35%
56-57°F 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
47°F or below
$0 Vol.
67%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
23%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
19%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
26%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
35%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
35%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
49%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
24%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
16%
66°F or higher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate Seattle's overnight low on August 29 will likely settle in the mid-50s, driven by an approaching frontal system that brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced radiational cooling under marine-influenced air. This setup aligns with seasonal norms near 56°F while limiting deeper drops, though variations in precipitation timing and wind could push readings toward 54–57°F or briefly lower. Trader consensus splits across these bins amid typical late-summer forecast spread, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting the low historical likelihood of sub-50°F readings this time of year absent unusual cold advection. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate Seattle's overnight low on August 29 will likely settle in the mid-50s, driven by an approaching frontal system that brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced radiational cooling under marine-influenced air. This setup aligns with seasonal norms near 56°F while limiting deeper drops, though variations in precipitation timing and wind could push readings toward 54–57°F or briefly lower. Trader consensus splits across these bins amid typical late-summer forecast spread, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting the low historical likelihood of sub-50°F readings this time of year absent unusual cold advection. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate Seattle's overnight low on August 29 will likely settle in the mid-50s, driven by an approaching frontal system that brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced radiational cooling under marine-influenced air. This setup aligns with seasonal norms near 56°F while limiting deeper drops, though variations in precipitation timing and wind could push readings toward 54–57°F or briefly lower. Trader consensus splits across these bins amid typical late-summer forecast spread, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting the low historical likelihood of sub-50°F readings this time of year absent unusual cold advection. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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