Current forecast guidance from National Weather Service models indicates Miami overnight lows on August 29 will likely settle in the low 80s, with dew points near 77°F and light easterly winds limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This pattern aligns with late-summer climatology where average lows reach 77.5°F yet recent days have featured elevated minima around 81°F amid humid conditions and heat indices above 105°F. Trader emphasis on the 80–81°F bin reflects model consensus and limited scope for sharper drops without an atypical frontal passage, while probabilities for 78–79°F capture residual uncertainty from variable cloud cover or heavier evening rain. Updated runs ahead of the overnight minimum will refine these ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 29?
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
67°F or below
$41 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$30 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$75 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$248 Vol.
16%
78-79°F
$432 Vol.
30%
80-81°F
$424 Vol.
48%
82-83°F
$346 Vol.
9%
84-85°F
$231 Vol.
5%
86°F or higher
$47 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from National Weather Service models indicates Miami overnight lows on August 29 will likely settle in the low 80s, with dew points near 77°F and light easterly winds limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This pattern aligns with late-summer climatology where average lows reach 77.5°F yet recent days have featured elevated minima around 81°F amid humid conditions and heat indices above 105°F. Trader emphasis on the 80–81°F bin reflects model consensus and limited scope for sharper drops without an atypical frontal passage, while probabilities for 78–79°F capture residual uncertainty from variable cloud cover or heavier evening rain. Updated runs ahead of the overnight minimum will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,884End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from National Weather Service models indicates Miami overnight lows on August 29 will likely settle in the low 80s, with dew points near 77°F and light easterly winds limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This pattern aligns with late-summer climatology where average lows reach 77.5°F yet recent days have featured elevated minima around 81°F amid humid conditions and heat indices above 105°F. Trader emphasis on the 80–81°F bin reflects model consensus and limited scope for sharper drops without an atypical frontal passage, while probabilities for 78–79°F capture residual uncertainty from variable cloud cover or heavier evening rain. Updated runs ahead of the overnight minimum will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,884End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from National Weather Service models indicates Miami overnight lows on August 29 will likely settle in the low 80s, with dew points near 77°F and light easterly winds limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This pattern aligns with late-summer climatology where average lows reach 77.5°F yet recent days have featured elevated minima around 81°F amid humid conditions and heat indices above 105°F. Trader emphasis on the 80–81°F bin reflects model consensus and limited scope for sharper drops without an atypical frontal passage, while probabilities for 78–79°F capture residual uncertainty from variable cloud cover or heavier evening rain. Updated runs ahead of the overnight minimum will refine these ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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