Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on August 28 indicates overnight minimum temperatures most likely between 78–82 °F, reflecting typical late-summer conditions with high humidity, light easterly flow, and scattered afternoon convection that limits radiational cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 86 °F and a moist boundary layer keep the diurnal range narrow, while the absence of any strong frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence prevents sharper drops. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 78–81 °F because forecast ensembles show only modest spread in the exact timing and coverage of evening showers, which can alter the recorded low by 1–2 °F. Historical August minima average near 77 °F, yet current guidance runs several degrees warmer, underscoring how subtle variations in cloud cover and wind will decide resolution between the two leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 28?
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 38%
84-85°F 21%
82-83°F 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
21%
86°F or higher
8%
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 38%
84-85°F 21%
82-83°F 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
$362 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
8%
70-71°F
$21 Vol.
10%
72-73°F
$35 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$116 Vol.
9%
76-77°F
$21 Vol.
13%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
38%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
39%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
21%
86°F or higher
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on August 28 indicates overnight minimum temperatures most likely between 78–82 °F, reflecting typical late-summer conditions with high humidity, light easterly flow, and scattered afternoon convection that limits radiational cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 86 °F and a moist boundary layer keep the diurnal range narrow, while the absence of any strong frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence prevents sharper drops. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 78–81 °F because forecast ensembles show only modest spread in the exact timing and coverage of evening showers, which can alter the recorded low by 1–2 °F. Historical August minima average near 77 °F, yet current guidance runs several degrees warmer, underscoring how subtle variations in cloud cover and wind will decide resolution between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$570End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on August 28 indicates overnight minimum temperatures most likely between 78–82 °F, reflecting typical late-summer conditions with high humidity, light easterly flow, and scattered afternoon convection that limits radiational cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 86 °F and a moist boundary layer keep the diurnal range narrow, while the absence of any strong frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence prevents sharper drops. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 78–81 °F because forecast ensembles show only modest spread in the exact timing and coverage of evening showers, which can alter the recorded low by 1–2 °F. Historical August minima average near 77 °F, yet current guidance runs several degrees warmer, underscoring how subtle variations in cloud cover and wind will decide resolution between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$570End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on August 28 indicates overnight minimum temperatures most likely between 78–82 °F, reflecting typical late-summer conditions with high humidity, light easterly flow, and scattered afternoon convection that limits radiational cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 86 °F and a moist boundary layer keep the diurnal range narrow, while the absence of any strong frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence prevents sharper drops. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 78–81 °F because forecast ensembles show only modest spread in the exact timing and coverage of evening showers, which can alter the recorded low by 1–2 °F. Historical August minima average near 77 °F, yet current guidance runs several degrees warmer, underscoring how subtle variations in cloud cover and wind will decide resolution between the two leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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