Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a persistent warm air mass over North Texas, with clear skies and light southeast winds limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting a low in the upper 70s for Dallas on August 29. Recent days have featured minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s amid the broader heat wave, consistent with climatological trends of elevated overnight readings during late-summer high-pressure regimes. Subtle differences in model depictions of boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint advection create the narrow spread between 78–81 °F bins, while higher or lower outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected frontal intrusion or increased cloud cover. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and local observations as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 29?
78-79°F 31%
80-81°F 29%
82-83°F 25%
86-87°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
71°F or below
5%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 31%
80-81°F 29%
82-83°F 25%
86-87°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
71°F or below
$48 Vol.
5%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
9%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
11%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
31%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
25%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
9%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
15%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
2%
90°F or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a persistent warm air mass over North Texas, with clear skies and light southeast winds limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting a low in the upper 70s for Dallas on August 29. Recent days have featured minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s amid the broader heat wave, consistent with climatological trends of elevated overnight readings during late-summer high-pressure regimes. Subtle differences in model depictions of boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint advection create the narrow spread between 78–81 °F bins, while higher or lower outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected frontal intrusion or increased cloud cover. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and local observations as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$63End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a persistent warm air mass over North Texas, with clear skies and light southeast winds limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting a low in the upper 70s for Dallas on August 29. Recent days have featured minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s amid the broader heat wave, consistent with climatological trends of elevated overnight readings during late-summer high-pressure regimes. Subtle differences in model depictions of boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint advection create the narrow spread between 78–81 °F bins, while higher or lower outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected frontal intrusion or increased cloud cover. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and local observations as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a persistent warm air mass over North Texas, with clear skies and light southeast winds limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting a low in the upper 70s for Dallas on August 29. Recent days have featured minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s amid the broader heat wave, consistent with climatological trends of elevated overnight readings during late-summer high-pressure regimes. Subtle differences in model depictions of boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint advection create the narrow spread between 78–81 °F bins, while higher or lower outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected frontal intrusion or increased cloud cover. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and local observations as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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