Ongoing heat wave conditions driven by a persistent high-pressure dome over the Southwest are elevating overnight lows across Los Angeles, with National Weather Service and private forecasts converging on 70–71°F for the August 29 minimum at downtown and coastal stations. This stems from limited marine-layer intrusion, weak onshore flow, and retained daytime heat despite afternoon sea breezes, contrasting with climatological August lows near 65°F. Model consensus shows minimal spread in the 68–73°F window, while thinner odds for sub-68°F outcomes reflect low likelihood of stronger nocturnal cooling or fog development before dawn. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against any last-minute NWS forecast updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29?
65°F or below 50%
80-81°F 48%
82-83°F 47%
72-73°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
65°F or below
50%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
47%
84°F or higher
1%
65°F or below 50%
80-81°F 48%
82-83°F 47%
72-73°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
65°F or below
$5 Vol.
50%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
26%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
26%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
25%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
48%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
47%
84°F or higher
$16 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat wave conditions driven by a persistent high-pressure dome over the Southwest are elevating overnight lows across Los Angeles, with National Weather Service and private forecasts converging on 70–71°F for the August 29 minimum at downtown and coastal stations. This stems from limited marine-layer intrusion, weak onshore flow, and retained daytime heat despite afternoon sea breezes, contrasting with climatological August lows near 65°F. Model consensus shows minimal spread in the 68–73°F window, while thinner odds for sub-68°F outcomes reflect low likelihood of stronger nocturnal cooling or fog development before dawn. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against any last-minute NWS forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$36End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat wave conditions driven by a persistent high-pressure dome over the Southwest are elevating overnight lows across Los Angeles, with National Weather Service and private forecasts converging on 70–71°F for the August 29 minimum at downtown and coastal stations. This stems from limited marine-layer intrusion, weak onshore flow, and retained daytime heat despite afternoon sea breezes, contrasting with climatological August lows near 65°F. Model consensus shows minimal spread in the 68–73°F window, while thinner odds for sub-68°F outcomes reflect low likelihood of stronger nocturnal cooling or fog development before dawn. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against any last-minute NWS forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heat wave conditions driven by a persistent high-pressure dome over the Southwest are elevating overnight lows across Los Angeles, with National Weather Service and private forecasts converging on 70–71°F for the August 29 minimum at downtown and coastal stations. This stems from limited marine-layer intrusion, weak onshore flow, and retained daytime heat despite afternoon sea breezes, contrasting with climatological August lows near 65°F. Model consensus shows minimal spread in the 68–73°F window, while thinner odds for sub-68°F outcomes reflect low likelihood of stronger nocturnal cooling or fog development before dawn. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against any last-minute NWS forecast updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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