Recent forecast model runs and observational trends position 28–29°C as the leading outcomes for Ankara’s August 31 high, reflecting a transition to partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation after cooler, unsettled weather over the weekend. Ensemble guidance from multiple sources shows afternoon maxima clustering near 28–30°C as high pressure builds, allowing moderate solar heating at Ankara’s elevation while limiting extreme warmth. This aligns with late-August climatology, where daily highs typically reach the upper 20s to low 30s before September cooling begins. Trader positioning around these values incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in official maximum temperature reporting criteria and the proximity to resolution, with any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind speed capable of nudging the observed peak by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 31?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 31?
28°C 49%
29°C 26%
27°C 21%
26°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
7%
27°C
21%
28°C
49%
29°C
26%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 49%
29°C 26%
27°C 21%
26°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
$63 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$1 Vol.
7%
27°C
$20 Vol.
21%
28°C
$195 Vol.
49%
29°C
$59 Vol.
26%
30°C
$1 Vol.
5%
31°C
$0 Vol.
5%
32°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$276 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs and observational trends position 28–29°C as the leading outcomes for Ankara’s August 31 high, reflecting a transition to partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation after cooler, unsettled weather over the weekend. Ensemble guidance from multiple sources shows afternoon maxima clustering near 28–30°C as high pressure builds, allowing moderate solar heating at Ankara’s elevation while limiting extreme warmth. This aligns with late-August climatology, where daily highs typically reach the upper 20s to low 30s before September cooling begins. Trader positioning around these values incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in official maximum temperature reporting criteria and the proximity to resolution, with any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind speed capable of nudging the observed peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$793End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs and observational trends position 28–29°C as the leading outcomes for Ankara’s August 31 high, reflecting a transition to partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation after cooler, unsettled weather over the weekend. Ensemble guidance from multiple sources shows afternoon maxima clustering near 28–30°C as high pressure builds, allowing moderate solar heating at Ankara’s elevation while limiting extreme warmth. This aligns with late-August climatology, where daily highs typically reach the upper 20s to low 30s before September cooling begins. Trader positioning around these values incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in official maximum temperature reporting criteria and the proximity to resolution, with any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind speed capable of nudging the observed peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$793End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs and observational trends position 28–29°C as the leading outcomes for Ankara’s August 31 high, reflecting a transition to partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation after cooler, unsettled weather over the weekend. Ensemble guidance from multiple sources shows afternoon maxima clustering near 28–30°C as high pressure builds, allowing moderate solar heating at Ankara’s elevation while limiting extreme warmth. This aligns with late-August climatology, where daily highs typically reach the upper 20s to low 30s before September cooling begins. Trader positioning around these values incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in official maximum temperature reporting criteria and the proximity to resolution, with any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind speed capable of nudging the observed peak by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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