**Forecast models for Ankara on August 30, 2026, indicate an overnight minimum of roughly 13–15 °C, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities centered on 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C.** Clear to mostly clear skies and light northerly winds (typically 2–5 m/s) promote efficient radiative cooling after sunset in Ankara’s high-elevation continental setting (around 900 m). Dew points near 10–12 °C limit further temperature drops, while the day’s modest high (25–26 °C) leaves limited residual heat. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects minor ensemble differences in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or station-specific readings (commonly Esenboğa). Historical late-August climatology supports minima in this range, with trader consensus aggregating these model uncertainties into the observed probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
10°C 49%
11°C 49%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
25%
10°C
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
38%
13°C
26%
14°C
37%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
4%
18°C
38%
19°C or higher
<1%
10°C 49%
11°C 49%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
25%
10°C
$0 Vol.
49%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
38%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
37%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$5 Vol.
4%
18°C
$5 Vol.
38%
19°C or higher
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Ankara on August 30, 2026, indicate an overnight minimum of roughly 13–15 °C, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities centered on 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C.**
Clear to mostly clear skies and light northerly winds (typically 2–5 m/s) promote efficient radiative cooling after sunset in Ankara’s high-elevation continental setting (around 900 m). Dew points near 10–12 °C limit further temperature drops, while the day’s modest high (25–26 °C) leaves limited residual heat.
The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects minor ensemble differences in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or station-specific readings (commonly Esenboğa). Historical late-August climatology supports minima in this range, with trader consensus aggregating these model uncertainties into the observed probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$155End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Ankara on August 30, 2026, indicate an overnight minimum of roughly 13–15 °C, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities centered on 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C.**
Clear to mostly clear skies and light northerly winds (typically 2–5 m/s) promote efficient radiative cooling after sunset in Ankara’s high-elevation continental setting (around 900 m). Dew points near 10–12 °C limit further temperature drops, while the day’s modest high (25–26 °C) leaves limited residual heat.
The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects minor ensemble differences in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or station-specific readings (commonly Esenboğa). Historical late-August climatology supports minima in this range, with trader consensus aggregating these model uncertainties into the observed probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$155End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Ankara on August 30, 2026, indicate an overnight minimum of roughly 13–15 °C, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities centered on 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C.** Clear to mostly clear skies and light northerly winds (typically 2–5 m/s) promote efficient radiative cooling after sunset in Ankara’s high-elevation continental setting (around 900 m). Dew points near 10–12 °C limit further temperature drops, while the day’s modest high (25–26 °C) leaves limited residual heat. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects minor ensemble differences in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or station-specific readings (commonly Esenboğa). Historical late-August climatology supports minima in this range, with trader consensus aggregating these model uncertainties into the observed probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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