Cid Gomes leads trader consensus for first place in Ceará’s Senate race at 62%, ahead of Capitão Wagner at 26% and Luizianne Lins at 6.5%, reflecting consistent polling trends through mid-August. Recent Datafolha and Genial/Quaest surveys showed Cid at 23–26% and Wagner at 16–22% in stimulated scenarios testing multiple candidates for the two available seats, with both far ahead of other registered contenders. Party conventions in late July and early August formalized Cid’s PSB candidacy within the coalition backing Governor Elmano de Freitas’s reelection, while Wagner runs under União Brasil. These results, combined with low support for remaining names such as Alcides Fernandes and Guilherme Theophilo, have kept the top two positioned as the primary contenders ahead of the October 4 vote, where voters select two senators.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCid Gomes 62%
Capitão Wagner 24%
Luizianne 7%
Alcides Fernandes 5%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
62%
Capitão Wagner
24%
Luizianne
7%
Alcides Fernandes
5%
Catarina Matos
2%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
1%
Reginaldo
1%
Cid Gomes 62%
Capitão Wagner 24%
Luizianne 7%
Alcides Fernandes 5%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
$2,728 Vol.
62%
Capitão Wagner
$304 Vol.
24%
Luizianne
$197 Vol.
7%
Alcides Fernandes
$142 Vol.
5%
Catarina Matos
$135 Vol.
2%
Lino Alves
$106 Vol.
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$113 Vol.
1%
Reginaldo
$108 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes leads trader consensus for first place in Ceará’s Senate race at 62%, ahead of Capitão Wagner at 26% and Luizianne Lins at 6.5%, reflecting consistent polling trends through mid-August. Recent Datafolha and Genial/Quaest surveys showed Cid at 23–26% and Wagner at 16–22% in stimulated scenarios testing multiple candidates for the two available seats, with both far ahead of other registered contenders. Party conventions in late July and early August formalized Cid’s PSB candidacy within the coalition backing Governor Elmano de Freitas’s reelection, while Wagner runs under União Brasil. These results, combined with low support for remaining names such as Alcides Fernandes and Guilherme Theophilo, have kept the top two positioned as the primary contenders ahead of the October 4 vote, where voters select two senators.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,833End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes leads trader consensus for first place in Ceará’s Senate race at 62%, ahead of Capitão Wagner at 26% and Luizianne Lins at 6.5%, reflecting consistent polling trends through mid-August. Recent Datafolha and Genial/Quaest surveys showed Cid at 23–26% and Wagner at 16–22% in stimulated scenarios testing multiple candidates for the two available seats, with both far ahead of other registered contenders. Party conventions in late July and early August formalized Cid’s PSB candidacy within the coalition backing Governor Elmano de Freitas’s reelection, while Wagner runs under União Brasil. These results, combined with low support for remaining names such as Alcides Fernandes and Guilherme Theophilo, have kept the top two positioned as the primary contenders ahead of the October 4 vote, where voters select two senators.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,833End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cid Gomes leads trader consensus for first place in Ceará’s Senate race at 62%, ahead of Capitão Wagner at 26% and Luizianne Lins at 6.5%, reflecting consistent polling trends through mid-August. Recent Datafolha and Genial/Quaest surveys showed Cid at 23–26% and Wagner at 16–22% in stimulated scenarios testing multiple candidates for the two available seats, with both far ahead of other registered contenders. Party conventions in late July and early August formalized Cid’s PSB candidacy within the coalition backing Governor Elmano de Freitas’s reelection, while Wagner runs under União Brasil. These results, combined with low support for remaining names such as Alcides Fernandes and Guilherme Theophilo, have kept the top two positioned as the primary contenders ahead of the October 4 vote, where voters select two senators.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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