Recent candidate shifts have kept the Alagoas Senate race for second place competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote. Alfredo Gaspar’s withdrawal to join a national ticket opened space for Arthur Lira and Marina JHC, while Renan Calheiros remains the consensus leader for first. Early surveys show a fragmented field among the seven declared contenders, with Lira, Renan, and Marina JHC clustered near the top and limited separation in vote intention. Trader consensus prices Lira highest for second but leaves room for movement depending on coalition consolidation, turnout patterns in key municipalities, and any further adjustments in alliances before the ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArthur Lira 47%
Renan 41%
Marina JHC 12%
Davi Davino Filho 2.2%
$10,699 Vol.
$10,699 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Lira
47%
Renan
41%
Marina JHC
12%
Davi Davino Filho
2%
Dr. Wanderley
1%
Alexandre Fleming
1%
Mariedson
<1%
Arthur Lira 47%
Renan 41%
Marina JHC 12%
Davi Davino Filho 2.2%
$10,699 Vol.
$10,699 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Lira
$3,565 Vol.
47%
Renan
$4,680 Vol.
41%
Marina JHC
$692 Vol.
12%
Davi Davino Filho
$430 Vol.
2%
Dr. Wanderley
$459 Vol.
1%
Alexandre Fleming
$410 Vol.
1%
Mariedson
$463 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent candidate shifts have kept the Alagoas Senate race for second place competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote. Alfredo Gaspar’s withdrawal to join a national ticket opened space for Arthur Lira and Marina JHC, while Renan Calheiros remains the consensus leader for first. Early surveys show a fragmented field among the seven declared contenders, with Lira, Renan, and Marina JHC clustered near the top and limited separation in vote intention. Trader consensus prices Lira highest for second but leaves room for movement depending on coalition consolidation, turnout patterns in key municipalities, and any further adjustments in alliances before the ballot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
Volume
$10,699End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent candidate shifts have kept the Alagoas Senate race for second place competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote. Alfredo Gaspar’s withdrawal to join a national ticket opened space for Arthur Lira and Marina JHC, while Renan Calheiros remains the consensus leader for first. Early surveys show a fragmented field among the seven declared contenders, with Lira, Renan, and Marina JHC clustered near the top and limited separation in vote intention. Trader consensus prices Lira highest for second but leaves room for movement depending on coalition consolidation, turnout patterns in key municipalities, and any further adjustments in alliances before the ballot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$10,699End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent candidate shifts have kept the Alagoas Senate race for second place competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote. Alfredo Gaspar’s withdrawal to join a national ticket opened space for Arthur Lira and Marina JHC, while Renan Calheiros remains the consensus leader for first. Early surveys show a fragmented field among the seven declared contenders, with Lira, Renan, and Marina JHC clustered near the top and limited separation in vote intention. Trader consensus prices Lira highest for second but leaves room for movement depending on coalition consolidation, turnout patterns in key municipalities, and any further adjustments in alliances before the ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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