The Roraima Senate race for two seats on October 4 features a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates, with trader odds reflecting tight positioning among Chico Rodrigues (PSB incumbent), Helio Bolsonaro (PL), Teresa Surita (MDB), and Nicoletti (PL). Limited recent polling and the absence of a dominant frontrunner after earlier surveys showed Surita and other names competitive have sustained balanced probabilities for second place. Party alliances, name recognition among established local figures, and the Bolsonarista base supporting PL candidates remain key variables that could shift vote consolidation in the final weeks before the single-round vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChico Rodrigues 30%
Helio Bolsonaro 30.0%
Teresa Surita 23%
Nicoletti 13.5%
$21,323 Vol.
$21,323 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Chico Rodrigues
30%
Helio Bolsonaro
30%
Teresa Surita
23%
Nicoletti
13%
Pastor Isamar
2%
Helena da Asatur
2%
Bartô Macuxi
1%
Mario Rocha
1%
Márcio Junqueira
1%
Rogério Miranda
1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
1%
Regina Tio Ivo
1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Chico Rodrigues 30%
Helio Bolsonaro 30.0%
Teresa Surita 23%
Nicoletti 13.5%
$21,323 Vol.
$21,323 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Chico Rodrigues
$3,487 Vol.
30%
Helio Bolsonaro
$6,007 Vol.
30%
Teresa Surita
$5,913 Vol.
23%
Nicoletti
$2,942 Vol.
13%
Pastor Isamar
$445 Vol.
2%
Helena da Asatur
$350 Vol.
2%
Bartô Macuxi
$323 Vol.
1%
Mario Rocha
$303 Vol.
1%
Márcio Junqueira
$312 Vol.
1%
Rogério Miranda
$319 Vol.
1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$311 Vol.
1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$325 Vol.
1%
Hilton Xavier
$284 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima Senate race for two seats on October 4 features a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates, with trader odds reflecting tight positioning among Chico Rodrigues (PSB incumbent), Helio Bolsonaro (PL), Teresa Surita (MDB), and Nicoletti (PL). Limited recent polling and the absence of a dominant frontrunner after earlier surveys showed Surita and other names competitive have sustained balanced probabilities for second place. Party alliances, name recognition among established local figures, and the Bolsonarista base supporting PL candidates remain key variables that could shift vote consolidation in the final weeks before the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$21,323End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima Senate race for two seats on October 4 features a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates, with trader odds reflecting tight positioning among Chico Rodrigues (PSB incumbent), Helio Bolsonaro (PL), Teresa Surita (MDB), and Nicoletti (PL). Limited recent polling and the absence of a dominant frontrunner after earlier surveys showed Surita and other names competitive have sustained balanced probabilities for second place. Party alliances, name recognition among established local figures, and the Bolsonarista base supporting PL candidates remain key variables that could shift vote consolidation in the final weeks before the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$21,323End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima Senate race for two seats on October 4 features a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates, with trader odds reflecting tight positioning among Chico Rodrigues (PSB incumbent), Helio Bolsonaro (PL), Teresa Surita (MDB), and Nicoletti (PL). Limited recent polling and the absence of a dominant frontrunner after earlier surveys showed Surita and other names competitive have sustained balanced probabilities for second place. Party alliances, name recognition among established local figures, and the Bolsonarista base supporting PL candidates remain key variables that could shift vote consolidation in the final weeks before the single-round vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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