Teresa Surita leads the Roraima Senate race for first place as the MDB nominee with extensive local experience as five-time Boa Vista mayor and former federal deputy, backed by recent asset declarations exceeding R$8 million and an alliance with Republicanos. Recent August 2026 conventions and candidacy registrations through mid-August confirmed her position amid a crowded field of 13 candidates for two seats, where fragmented support among challengers like Chico Rodrigues, Nicoletti, and Rogério Miranda has left most at minimal implied probabilities. Hélio Bolsonaro (Hélio Lopes, PL), who transferred his electoral domicile from Rio de Janeiro and draws on national Bolsonaro family endorsement, trails at lower odds due to limited prior Roraima roots. Early 2026 polling averages reinforce Surita's frontrunner status heading into the October 4 first-round vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeresa Surita 69%
Helio Bolsonaro 21%
Nicoletti 4.0%
Rogério Miranda 1.3%
$15,880 Vol.
$15,880 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
69%
Helio Bolsonaro
21%
Nicoletti
4%
Rogério Miranda
1%
Márcio Junqueira
1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
1%
Mario Rocha
1%
Helena da Asatur
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Chico Rodrigues
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Teresa Surita 69%
Helio Bolsonaro 21%
Nicoletti 4.0%
Rogério Miranda 1.3%
$15,880 Vol.
$15,880 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
$6,197 Vol.
69%
Helio Bolsonaro
$3,237 Vol.
21%
Nicoletti
$2,552 Vol.
4%
Rogério Miranda
$520 Vol.
1%
Márcio Junqueira
$354 Vol.
1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$340 Vol.
1%
Mario Rocha
$339 Vol.
1%
Helena da Asatur
$363 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$412 Vol.
<1%
Chico Rodrigues
$385 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$404 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$393 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$384 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita leads the Roraima Senate race for first place as the MDB nominee with extensive local experience as five-time Boa Vista mayor and former federal deputy, backed by recent asset declarations exceeding R$8 million and an alliance with Republicanos. Recent August 2026 conventions and candidacy registrations through mid-August confirmed her position amid a crowded field of 13 candidates for two seats, where fragmented support among challengers like Chico Rodrigues, Nicoletti, and Rogério Miranda has left most at minimal implied probabilities. Hélio Bolsonaro (Hélio Lopes, PL), who transferred his electoral domicile from Rio de Janeiro and draws on national Bolsonaro family endorsement, trails at lower odds due to limited prior Roraima roots. Early 2026 polling averages reinforce Surita's frontrunner status heading into the October 4 first-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$15,880End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita leads the Roraima Senate race for first place as the MDB nominee with extensive local experience as five-time Boa Vista mayor and former federal deputy, backed by recent asset declarations exceeding R$8 million and an alliance with Republicanos. Recent August 2026 conventions and candidacy registrations through mid-August confirmed her position amid a crowded field of 13 candidates for two seats, where fragmented support among challengers like Chico Rodrigues, Nicoletti, and Rogério Miranda has left most at minimal implied probabilities. Hélio Bolsonaro (Hélio Lopes, PL), who transferred his electoral domicile from Rio de Janeiro and draws on national Bolsonaro family endorsement, trails at lower odds due to limited prior Roraima roots. Early 2026 polling averages reinforce Surita's frontrunner status heading into the October 4 first-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,880End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita leads the Roraima Senate race for first place as the MDB nominee with extensive local experience as five-time Boa Vista mayor and former federal deputy, backed by recent asset declarations exceeding R$8 million and an alliance with Republicanos. Recent August 2026 conventions and candidacy registrations through mid-August confirmed her position amid a crowded field of 13 candidates for two seats, where fragmented support among challengers like Chico Rodrigues, Nicoletti, and Rogério Miranda has left most at minimal implied probabilities. Hélio Bolsonaro (Hélio Lopes, PL), who transferred his electoral domicile from Rio de Janeiro and draws on national Bolsonaro family endorsement, trails at lower odds due to limited prior Roraima roots. Early 2026 polling averages reinforce Surita's frontrunner status heading into the October 4 first-round vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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