Recent polls from Quaest, Datafolha, and Paraná Pesquisas show a fragmented field for Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats, with Benedita da Silva (PT) leading numerically at 10-15% while Carlos Jordy (PL), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Mônica Benício (PSOL), and Pedro Paulo (PSD) remain within the margin of error for second place. High indecision (29%+ undecided, plus substantial blank/null shares) and a crowded ballot of 16+ candidates sustain the tight contest for the second vacancy. Traders price the outcome accordingly, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on name recognition, party resources, and potential coattails from the concurrent gubernatorial race. Further movement could arise from late-campaign alliances, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or additional surveys closer to the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBenedita da Silva 21%
Carlos Jordy 20%
Marcelo Crivella 17.9%
Carlos Portinho 16%
$37,855 Vol.
$37,855 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Benedita da Silva
21%
Carlos Jordy
20%
Marcelo Crivella
18%
Carlos Portinho
16%
Pedro Paulo
13%
Monica Benicio
4%
André Monteiro
<1%
Ó Clemente
<1%
Helio Secco
<1%
Marcos Dias
<1%
Luciano Mattos
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
<1%
Michelly Xavier
<1%
Paula Falcão
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
<1%
Waguinho
<1%
Benedita da Silva 21%
Carlos Jordy 20%
Marcelo Crivella 17.9%
Carlos Portinho 16%
$37,855 Vol.
$37,855 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Benedita da Silva
$6,369 Vol.
21%
Carlos Jordy
$6,642 Vol.
20%
Marcelo Crivella
$3,633 Vol.
18%
Carlos Portinho
$4,657 Vol.
16%
Pedro Paulo
$5,743 Vol.
13%
Monica Benicio
$1,930 Vol.
4%
André Monteiro
$2,174 Vol.
<1%
Ó Clemente
$1,138 Vol.
<1%
Helio Secco
$1,118 Vol.
<1%
Marcos Dias
$794 Vol.
<1%
Luciano Mattos
$597 Vol.
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
$608 Vol.
<1%
Michelly Xavier
$601 Vol.
<1%
Paula Falcão
$520 Vol.
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
$533 Vol.
<1%
Waguinho
$798 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Quaest, Datafolha, and Paraná Pesquisas show a fragmented field for Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats, with Benedita da Silva (PT) leading numerically at 10-15% while Carlos Jordy (PL), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Mônica Benício (PSOL), and Pedro Paulo (PSD) remain within the margin of error for second place. High indecision (29%+ undecided, plus substantial blank/null shares) and a crowded ballot of 16+ candidates sustain the tight contest for the second vacancy. Traders price the outcome accordingly, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on name recognition, party resources, and potential coattails from the concurrent gubernatorial race. Further movement could arise from late-campaign alliances, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or additional surveys closer to the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volume
$37,855End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Quaest, Datafolha, and Paraná Pesquisas show a fragmented field for Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats, with Benedita da Silva (PT) leading numerically at 10-15% while Carlos Jordy (PL), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Mônica Benício (PSOL), and Pedro Paulo (PSD) remain within the margin of error for second place. High indecision (29%+ undecided, plus substantial blank/null shares) and a crowded ballot of 16+ candidates sustain the tight contest for the second vacancy. Traders price the outcome accordingly, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on name recognition, party resources, and potential coattails from the concurrent gubernatorial race. Further movement could arise from late-campaign alliances, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or additional surveys closer to the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$37,855End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from Quaest, Datafolha, and Paraná Pesquisas show a fragmented field for Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats, with Benedita da Silva (PT) leading numerically at 10-15% while Carlos Jordy (PL), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Mônica Benício (PSOL), and Pedro Paulo (PSD) remain within the margin of error for second place. High indecision (29%+ undecided, plus substantial blank/null shares) and a crowded ballot of 16+ candidates sustain the tight contest for the second vacancy. Traders price the outcome accordingly, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on name recognition, party resources, and potential coattails from the concurrent gubernatorial race. Further movement could arise from late-campaign alliances, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or additional surveys closer to the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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