Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28 °C for Wuhan on August 27, consistent with the closely matched leading market probabilities at those levels. Persistent post-fu heat under subtropical high pressure, light northerly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with only localized afternoon showers support these values, as overnight radiative cooling remains limited by high humidity and residual warmth. Model spread arises mainly from uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and any weak convective activity that could modestly lower or raise the nocturnal minimum by 1–2 °C. Cooling tied to typhoon peripheral flow is not expected until after the 29th, keeping near-term trader focus on these diurnal and synoptic factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 27?
31°C 48%
25°C 44%
26°C 44%
27°C 27%
24°C or below
15%
25°C
44%
26°C
44%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
24%
30°C
2%
31°C
48%
32°C
8%
33°C
16%
34°C or higher
6%
31°C 48%
25°C 44%
26°C 44%
27°C 27%
24°C or below
15%
25°C
44%
26°C
44%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
24%
30°C
2%
31°C
48%
32°C
8%
33°C
16%
34°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28 °C for Wuhan on August 27, consistent with the closely matched leading market probabilities at those levels. Persistent post-fu heat under subtropical high pressure, light northerly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with only localized afternoon showers support these values, as overnight radiative cooling remains limited by high humidity and residual warmth. Model spread arises mainly from uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and any weak convective activity that could modestly lower or raise the nocturnal minimum by 1–2 °C. Cooling tied to typhoon peripheral flow is not expected until after the 29th, keeping near-term trader focus on these diurnal and synoptic factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions