Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies, including BBC Weather and the Met Office, indicate a maximum temperature of 13–14°C for Buenos Aires on August 25 under sunny intervals and gentle northeasterly breezes, aligning with late-winter climatology where average highs reach 16°C. This positions 14°C and 15°C as market leaders, with traders weighting model consensus and recent observational trends showing stable high-pressure influence and limited warming potential. Historical analogs for late August confirm low variability, though minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could nudge readings toward 15°C. Upcoming official updates from local services will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25?
15°C 50%
14°C 37%
16°C 9%
13°C 6%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
37%
15°C
50%
16°C
9%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 50%
14°C 37%
16°C 9%
13°C 6%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
37%
15°C
50%
16°C
9%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies, including BBC Weather and the Met Office, indicate a maximum temperature of 13–14°C for Buenos Aires on August 25 under sunny intervals and gentle northeasterly breezes, aligning with late-winter climatology where average highs reach 16°C. This positions 14°C and 15°C as market leaders, with traders weighting model consensus and recent observational trends showing stable high-pressure influence and limited warming potential. Historical analogs for late August confirm low variability, though minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could nudge readings toward 15°C. Upcoming official updates from local services will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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