Renato Casagrande holds a commanding position in trader sentiment for first place in the Espírito Santo Senate race, reflecting consistent polling leads of 24–32% in recent surveys that place him well ahead of competitors such as Paulo Hartung, Sérgio Meneguelli, Rose de Freitas, and incumbents Fabiano Contarato and Marcos do Val. His background as a three-term governor, former senator, and state executive with established coalitions underpins broad name recognition and voter preference across tested scenarios. The October 4 election features voters selecting two candidates for the seats, amplifying the value of a clear frontrunner. Potential shifts could arise from late campaign developments, coalition realignments, or stronger performance by regional figures if Hartung opts for the gubernatorial contest instead. Current market pricing captures this entrenched advantage while leaving room for unforeseen events before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRenato Casagrande 96.4%
Fabiano Contarato 1.7%
Marcos do Val 1.1%
Rodney Miranda 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
96%
Fabiano Contarato
2%
Marcos do Val
1%
Rodney Miranda
1%
Callegari
1%
Leonardo Monjardim
1%
Rose de Freitas
1%
Sergio Meneguelli
1%
Evair de Melo
1%
Maguinha Malta
1%
Professor Fabian
1%
Renato Casagrande 96.4%
Fabiano Contarato 1.7%
Marcos do Val 1.1%
Rodney Miranda 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
$5,661 Vol.
96%
Fabiano Contarato
$398 Vol.
2%
Marcos do Val
$402 Vol.
1%
Rodney Miranda
$378 Vol.
1%
Callegari
$367 Vol.
1%
Leonardo Monjardim
$580 Vol.
1%
Rose de Freitas
$359 Vol.
1%
Sergio Meneguelli
$402 Vol.
1%
Evair de Melo
$382 Vol.
1%
Maguinha Malta
$594 Vol.
1%
Professor Fabian
$299 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande holds a commanding position in trader sentiment for first place in the Espírito Santo Senate race, reflecting consistent polling leads of 24–32% in recent surveys that place him well ahead of competitors such as Paulo Hartung, Sérgio Meneguelli, Rose de Freitas, and incumbents Fabiano Contarato and Marcos do Val. His background as a three-term governor, former senator, and state executive with established coalitions underpins broad name recognition and voter preference across tested scenarios. The October 4 election features voters selecting two candidates for the seats, amplifying the value of a clear frontrunner. Potential shifts could arise from late campaign developments, coalition realignments, or stronger performance by regional figures if Hartung opts for the gubernatorial contest instead. Current market pricing captures this entrenched advantage while leaving room for unforeseen events before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Volume
$9,822End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande holds a commanding position in trader sentiment for first place in the Espírito Santo Senate race, reflecting consistent polling leads of 24–32% in recent surveys that place him well ahead of competitors such as Paulo Hartung, Sérgio Meneguelli, Rose de Freitas, and incumbents Fabiano Contarato and Marcos do Val. His background as a three-term governor, former senator, and state executive with established coalitions underpins broad name recognition and voter preference across tested scenarios. The October 4 election features voters selecting two candidates for the seats, amplifying the value of a clear frontrunner. Potential shifts could arise from late campaign developments, coalition realignments, or stronger performance by regional figures if Hartung opts for the gubernatorial contest instead. Current market pricing captures this entrenched advantage while leaving room for unforeseen events before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$9,822End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Renato Casagrande holds a commanding position in trader sentiment for first place in the Espírito Santo Senate race, reflecting consistent polling leads of 24–32% in recent surveys that place him well ahead of competitors such as Paulo Hartung, Sérgio Meneguelli, Rose de Freitas, and incumbents Fabiano Contarato and Marcos do Val. His background as a three-term governor, former senator, and state executive with established coalitions underpins broad name recognition and voter preference across tested scenarios. The October 4 election features voters selecting two candidates for the seats, amplifying the value of a clear frontrunner. Potential shifts could arise from late campaign developments, coalition realignments, or stronger performance by regional figures if Hartung opts for the gubernatorial contest instead. Current market pricing captures this entrenched advantage while leaving room for unforeseen events before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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