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Politics·Brazil

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

icon for Amazonas Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Omar Aziz 69%

Professora Maria do Carmo 22%

Roberto Cidade 9.9%

David Almeida 2.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Omar Aziz 69%

Professora Maria do Carmo 22%

Roberto Cidade 9.9%

David Almeida 2.3%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Omar Aziz

Omar Aziz

$3,559 Vol.

69%

icon for Professora Maria do Carmo

Professora Maria do Carmo

$810 Vol.

22%

icon for Roberto Cidade

Roberto Cidade

$441 Vol.

7%

icon for David Almeida

David Almeida

$298 Vol.

2%

icon for Gilberto Vasconcelos

Gilberto Vasconcelos

$297 Vol.

1%

icon for Isael Munduruku

Isael Munduruku

$411 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Daciolo

Cabo Daciolo

$274 Vol.

<1%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) leads the Amazonas gubernatorial race as the clear market favorite due to consistent polling advantages and broad coalition support ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent surveys from DMP, Projeta, and others place him at 25-34% in the first round, ahead of Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), Maria do Carmo Seffair (PL), and David Almeida (Avante), with Aziz also favored in second-round matchups by double-digit margins. His prior service as governor and senator, plus alliances including with the PT-led bloc, strengthen his position. Maria do Carmo holds second place in some polls at 14-22% following her PL convention, while Cidade's incumbency and recent campaign events keep him competitive in the capital region. Low support for fringe candidates aligns with limited name recognition in statewide surveys.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$6,090
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) leads the Amazonas gubernatorial race as the clear market favorite due to consistent polling advantages and broad coalition support ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent surveys from DMP, Projeta, and others place him at 25-34% in the first round, ahead of Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), Maria do Carmo Seffair (PL), and David Almeida (Avante), with Aziz also favored in second-round matchups by double-digit margins. His prior service as governor and senator, plus alliances including with the PT-led bloc, strengthen his position. Maria do Carmo holds second place in some polls at 14-22% following her PL convention, while Cidade's incumbency and recent campaign events keep him competitive in the capital region. Low support for fringe candidates aligns with limited name recognition in statewide surveys.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$6,090
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Amazonas Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Omar Aziz" at 69%, followed by "Professora Maria do Carmo" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Amazonas Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Amazonas Governor Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Amazonas Governor Election Winner" is "Omar Aziz" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Professora Maria do Carmo" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Amazonas Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.