Hana Ghassan (MDB) holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2026 Pará gubernatorial race, reflecting recent AtlasIntel polling that placed her at 48.6% in the first round against 40.5% for Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), with all other candidates below 1.5%. A leaked private video involving Santos shortly before the survey contributed to the separation, as earlier polls had shown the two more closely matched. Ghassan benefits from her role as vice-governor and alignment with former Governor Helder Barbalho’s coalition network ahead of the October vote, while Santos’s support has not consolidated beyond core voters. Minor candidates such as Éder Mauro, Paulo Rocha, and Zequinha Marinho register negligible probabilities, underscoring the two-way dynamic. Upcoming campaign events or further polling shifts could still narrow or widen the gap before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPará Governor Election Winner
Pará Governor Election Winner
Hana Ghassan 56%
Dr. Daniel Santos 42%
Éder Mauro 1.4%
Paulo Rocha <1%
$32,859 Vol.
$32,859 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
56%
Dr. Daniel Santos
42%
Éder Mauro
1%
Paulo Rocha
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
<1%
Rogério Barra
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Hana Ghassan 56%
Dr. Daniel Santos 42%
Éder Mauro 1.4%
Paulo Rocha <1%
$32,859 Vol.
$32,859 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
$14,023 Vol.
56%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$9,402 Vol.
42%
Éder Mauro
$3,724 Vol.
1%
Paulo Rocha
$1,503 Vol.
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$1,409 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Barra
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
$1,334 Vol.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB) holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2026 Pará gubernatorial race, reflecting recent AtlasIntel polling that placed her at 48.6% in the first round against 40.5% for Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), with all other candidates below 1.5%. A leaked private video involving Santos shortly before the survey contributed to the separation, as earlier polls had shown the two more closely matched. Ghassan benefits from her role as vice-governor and alignment with former Governor Helder Barbalho’s coalition network ahead of the October vote, while Santos’s support has not consolidated beyond core voters. Minor candidates such as Éder Mauro, Paulo Rocha, and Zequinha Marinho register negligible probabilities, underscoring the two-way dynamic. Upcoming campaign events or further polling shifts could still narrow or widen the gap before election day.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Volume
$32,859End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB) holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2026 Pará gubernatorial race, reflecting recent AtlasIntel polling that placed her at 48.6% in the first round against 40.5% for Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), with all other candidates below 1.5%. A leaked private video involving Santos shortly before the survey contributed to the separation, as earlier polls had shown the two more closely matched. Ghassan benefits from her role as vice-governor and alignment with former Governor Helder Barbalho’s coalition network ahead of the October vote, while Santos’s support has not consolidated beyond core voters. Minor candidates such as Éder Mauro, Paulo Rocha, and Zequinha Marinho register negligible probabilities, underscoring the two-way dynamic. Upcoming campaign events or further polling shifts could still narrow or widen the gap before election day.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$32,859End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan (MDB) holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2026 Pará gubernatorial race, reflecting recent AtlasIntel polling that placed her at 48.6% in the first round against 40.5% for Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), with all other candidates below 1.5%. A leaked private video involving Santos shortly before the survey contributed to the separation, as earlier polls had shown the two more closely matched. Ghassan benefits from her role as vice-governor and alignment with former Governor Helder Barbalho’s coalition network ahead of the October vote, while Santos’s support has not consolidated beyond core voters. Minor candidates such as Éder Mauro, Paulo Rocha, and Zequinha Marinho register negligible probabilities, underscoring the two-way dynamic. Upcoming campaign events or further polling shifts could still narrow or widen the gap before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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