Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, maintains a commanding lead in Amapá’s October 4, 2026 gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 93 percent. Multiple July–August 2026 polls show him with 61–70 percent first-round voting intentions, far ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (União) and other challengers. His position stems from strong name recognition, a unified PSD ticket that includes his wife’s leading Senate bid, and early candidacy registration amid fragmented opposition. The first-round majority threshold and state electoral calendar reinforce this dominance absent major late developments. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected scandals, sharp turnout changes among key regional blocs, or a surprise runoff consolidation against him.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDr. Furlan 93%
Marcos Reategui 3.1%
Clécio Luís 2.6%
Jairo Palheta 2.1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Furlan
93%
Marcos Reategui
3%
Clécio Luís
3%
Jairo Palheta
2%
Carlos Cley
1%
Dr. Furlan 93%
Marcos Reategui 3.1%
Clécio Luís 2.6%
Jairo Palheta 2.1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Furlan
$1,220 Vol.
93%
Marcos Reategui
$209 Vol.
3%
Clécio Luís
$169 Vol.
3%
Jairo Palheta
$374 Vol.
2%
Carlos Cley
$128 Vol.
1%
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, maintains a commanding lead in Amapá’s October 4, 2026 gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 93 percent. Multiple July–August 2026 polls show him with 61–70 percent first-round voting intentions, far ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (União) and other challengers. His position stems from strong name recognition, a unified PSD ticket that includes his wife’s leading Senate bid, and early candidacy registration amid fragmented opposition. The first-round majority threshold and state electoral calendar reinforce this dominance absent major late developments. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected scandals, sharp turnout changes among key regional blocs, or a surprise runoff consolidation against him.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,101End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, maintains a commanding lead in Amapá’s October 4, 2026 gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 93 percent. Multiple July–August 2026 polls show him with 61–70 percent first-round voting intentions, far ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (União) and other challengers. His position stems from strong name recognition, a unified PSD ticket that includes his wife’s leading Senate bid, and early candidacy registration amid fragmented opposition. The first-round majority threshold and state electoral calendar reinforce this dominance absent major late developments. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected scandals, sharp turnout changes among key regional blocs, or a surprise runoff consolidation against him.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$2,101End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, maintains a commanding lead in Amapá’s October 4, 2026 gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 93 percent. Multiple July–August 2026 polls show him with 61–70 percent first-round voting intentions, far ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (União) and other challengers. His position stems from strong name recognition, a unified PSD ticket that includes his wife’s leading Senate bid, and early candidacy registration amid fragmented opposition. The first-round majority threshold and state electoral calendar reinforce this dominance absent major late developments. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected scandals, sharp turnout changes among key regional blocs, or a surprise runoff consolidation against him.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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