The Acre Senate race for first place remains tightly contested among established figures, with Márcio Bittar (PL) holding the highest implied probability at 36.5% amid a field where multiple candidates cluster near or below 26%. Recent candidate registrations ahead of the October 4 first round, including Gladson Cameli (PP) after resigning the governorship, Jorge Viana (PT), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Sérgio Petecão (PSD), have reinforced a multi-candidate dynamic in which voters select two senators. Polling from June and July showed Cameli leading but with Bittar and Viana within margins of error, while Cameli’s ongoing legal appeals over a prior conviction introduce uncertainty that traders appear to price into lower odds. This setup, combined with no dominant frontrunner emerging in the early campaign phase, sustains narrow spreads and leaves room for shifts from alliances, turnout patterns, or late legal rulings before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarcio Bittar 38%
Gladson Camelí 28.0%
Jorge Viana 13.3%
Mara Rocha 13.0%
$12,716 Vol.
$12,716 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
38%
Gladson Camelí
28%
Jorge Viana
13%
Mara Rocha
13%
Petecão
9%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
4%
Eduardo Velloso
1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
1%
Marcio Bittar 38%
Gladson Camelí 28.0%
Jorge Viana 13.3%
Mara Rocha 13.0%
$12,716 Vol.
$12,716 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
$4,892 Vol.
38%
Gladson Camelí
$3,779 Vol.
28%
Jorge Viana
$823 Vol.
13%
Mara Rocha
$1,199 Vol.
13%
Petecão
$812 Vol.
9%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
$318 Vol.
4%
Eduardo Velloso
$357 Vol.
1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
$537 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Acre Senate race for first place remains tightly contested among established figures, with Márcio Bittar (PL) holding the highest implied probability at 36.5% amid a field where multiple candidates cluster near or below 26%. Recent candidate registrations ahead of the October 4 first round, including Gladson Cameli (PP) after resigning the governorship, Jorge Viana (PT), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Sérgio Petecão (PSD), have reinforced a multi-candidate dynamic in which voters select two senators. Polling from June and July showed Cameli leading but with Bittar and Viana within margins of error, while Cameli’s ongoing legal appeals over a prior conviction introduce uncertainty that traders appear to price into lower odds. This setup, combined with no dominant frontrunner emerging in the early campaign phase, sustains narrow spreads and leaves room for shifts from alliances, turnout patterns, or late legal rulings before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
Volume
$12,716End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Acre Senate race for first place remains tightly contested among established figures, with Márcio Bittar (PL) holding the highest implied probability at 36.5% amid a field where multiple candidates cluster near or below 26%. Recent candidate registrations ahead of the October 4 first round, including Gladson Cameli (PP) after resigning the governorship, Jorge Viana (PT), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Sérgio Petecão (PSD), have reinforced a multi-candidate dynamic in which voters select two senators. Polling from June and July showed Cameli leading but with Bittar and Viana within margins of error, while Cameli’s ongoing legal appeals over a prior conviction introduce uncertainty that traders appear to price into lower odds. This setup, combined with no dominant frontrunner emerging in the early campaign phase, sustains narrow spreads and leaves room for shifts from alliances, turnout patterns, or late legal rulings before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$12,716End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Acre Senate race for first place remains tightly contested among established figures, with Márcio Bittar (PL) holding the highest implied probability at 36.5% amid a field where multiple candidates cluster near or below 26%. Recent candidate registrations ahead of the October 4 first round, including Gladson Cameli (PP) after resigning the governorship, Jorge Viana (PT), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Sérgio Petecão (PSD), have reinforced a multi-candidate dynamic in which voters select two senators. Polling from June and July showed Cameli leading but with Bittar and Viana within margins of error, while Cameli’s ongoing legal appeals over a prior conviction introduce uncertainty that traders appear to price into lower odds. This setup, combined with no dominant frontrunner emerging in the early campaign phase, sustains narrow spreads and leaves room for shifts from alliances, turnout patterns, or late legal rulings before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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