Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator seeking re-election, leads trader consensus for first place in Tocantins’s October 4, 2026, Senate race due to consistent polling advantages in a multi-candidate field for the two available seats. Recent surveys, including a July Paraná Pesquisas poll, placed Gomes at 31 percent, ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) at 25 percent, with Carlos Gaguim (UNIÃO) and others trailing further. This positioning aligns with Gomes’s established name recognition and party infrastructure in the state. The market assigns lower probabilities to challengers like Guimarães and Gaguim, reflecting their narrower paths in a contest where vote shares above roughly 25 percent often secure the top spot amid fragmented opposition. No major shifts have emerged since the latest available polling data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEduardo Gomes 69%
Alexandre Guimarães 16.4%
Gaguim 8.3%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga <1%
$20,664 Vol.
$20,664 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Gomes
69%
Alexandre Guimarães
18%
Gaguim
8%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
<1%
Eli Borges
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Osvany Luz
<1%
Paulo Mourão
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
<1%
Ronaldo Dimas
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
<1%
Eduardo Gomes 69%
Alexandre Guimarães 16.4%
Gaguim 8.3%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga <1%
$20,664 Vol.
$20,664 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Gomes
$12,312 Vol.
69%
Alexandre Guimarães
$2,010 Vol.
18%
Gaguim
$694 Vol.
8%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$582 Vol.
<1%
Nilton Santos
$629 Vol.
<1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$503 Vol.
<1%
Eli Borges
$523 Vol.
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
$593 Vol.
<1%
Osvany Luz
$515 Vol.
<1%
Paulo Mourão
$544 Vol.
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
$593 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Dimas
$610 Vol.
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$554 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator seeking re-election, leads trader consensus for first place in Tocantins’s October 4, 2026, Senate race due to consistent polling advantages in a multi-candidate field for the two available seats. Recent surveys, including a July Paraná Pesquisas poll, placed Gomes at 31 percent, ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) at 25 percent, with Carlos Gaguim (UNIÃO) and others trailing further. This positioning aligns with Gomes’s established name recognition and party infrastructure in the state. The market assigns lower probabilities to challengers like Guimarães and Gaguim, reflecting their narrower paths in a contest where vote shares above roughly 25 percent often secure the top spot amid fragmented opposition. No major shifts have emerged since the latest available polling data.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volume
$20,664End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator seeking re-election, leads trader consensus for first place in Tocantins’s October 4, 2026, Senate race due to consistent polling advantages in a multi-candidate field for the two available seats. Recent surveys, including a July Paraná Pesquisas poll, placed Gomes at 31 percent, ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) at 25 percent, with Carlos Gaguim (UNIÃO) and others trailing further. This positioning aligns with Gomes’s established name recognition and party infrastructure in the state. The market assigns lower probabilities to challengers like Guimarães and Gaguim, reflecting their narrower paths in a contest where vote shares above roughly 25 percent often secure the top spot amid fragmented opposition. No major shifts have emerged since the latest available polling data.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$20,664End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator seeking re-election, leads trader consensus for first place in Tocantins’s October 4, 2026, Senate race due to consistent polling advantages in a multi-candidate field for the two available seats. Recent surveys, including a July Paraná Pesquisas poll, placed Gomes at 31 percent, ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) at 25 percent, with Carlos Gaguim (UNIÃO) and others trailing further. This positioning aligns with Gomes’s established name recognition and party infrastructure in the state. The market assigns lower probabilities to challengers like Guimarães and Gaguim, reflecting their narrower paths in a contest where vote shares above roughly 25 percent often secure the top spot amid fragmented opposition. No major shifts have emerged since the latest available polling data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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