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icon for Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place

Teresa Surita 68%

Helio Bolsonaro 26%

Nicoletti 3.8%

Rogério Miranda 1.3%

Polymarket

$15,945 Vol.

Teresa Surita 68%

Helio Bolsonaro 26%

Nicoletti 3.8%

Rogério Miranda 1.3%

Polymarket

$15,945 Vol.

icon for Teresa Surita

Teresa Surita

$6,217 Vol.

68%

icon for Helio Bolsonaro

Helio Bolsonaro

$3,282 Vol.

26%

icon for Nicoletti

Nicoletti

$2,552 Vol.

4%

icon for Rogério Miranda

Rogério Miranda

$520 Vol.

1%

icon for Márcio Junqueira

Márcio Junqueira

$354 Vol.

1%

icon for Hiperion de Oliveira

Hiperion de Oliveira

$340 Vol.

1%

icon for Mario Rocha

Mario Rocha

$339 Vol.

1%

icon for Helena da Asatur

Helena da Asatur

$363 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bartô Macuxi

Bartô Macuxi

$412 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chico Rodrigues

Chico Rodrigues

$385 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hilton Xavier

Hilton Xavier

$404 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pastor Isamar

Pastor Isamar

$393 Vol.

<1%

icon for Regina Tio Ivo

Regina Tio Ivo

$384 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest due to her decades of state-level experience, including five terms as Boa Vista mayor and prior federal deputy service, combined with an MDB-Republicanos alliance and endorsement of the leading gubernatorial candidate. Recent August conventions and candidate registrations confirmed her ticket alongside 12 others, while asset declarations highlighted her local economic ties. Helio Bolsonaro (PL) trails as the main alternative, drawing on national party branding after transferring his voter registration from Rio de Janeiro, though he lacks equivalent state roots and faces competition from PL running mate Nicoletti. The remaining field, including Chico Rodrigues and several minor entrants, registers minimal support in the absence of recent state-specific polling. Traders price these probabilities around Surita’s established incumbency advantages and the fragmented right-wing slate.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,945
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest due to her decades of state-level experience, including five terms as Boa Vista mayor and prior federal deputy service, combined with an MDB-Republicanos alliance and endorsement of the leading gubernatorial candidate. Recent August conventions and candidate registrations confirmed her ticket alongside 12 others, while asset declarations highlighted her local economic ties. Helio Bolsonaro (PL) trails as the main alternative, drawing on national party branding after transferring his voter registration from Rio de Janeiro, though he lacks equivalent state roots and faces competition from PL running mate Nicoletti. The remaining field, including Chico Rodrigues and several minor entrants, registers minimal support in the absence of recent state-specific polling. Traders price these probabilities around Surita’s established incumbency advantages and the fragmented right-wing slate.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,945
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Teresa Surita" at 68%, followed by "Helio Bolsonaro" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place" has generated $15.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Teresa Surita" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Helio Bolsonaro" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.