Cleitinho Azevedo holds the commanding lead in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus above 70 percent. Recent Datafolha polling from mid-August showed him at 32 percent in the first round, roughly double the support for nearest rivals Patrus Ananias and Alexandre Kalil. His position as a sitting senator with Republicanos backing, combined with steady center-right and evangelical voter consolidation, has widened the gap since earlier surveys. The fragmented opposition field, term limits on incumbent Romeu Zema, and absence of major late shifts have limited any viable challenge ahead of the October 4 vote, sustaining the current pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCleitinho Azevedo 73.7%
Alexandre Kalil 9.1%
Mateus Simões 4.5%
Gabriel Azevedo 3.9%
$360,990 Vol.
$360,990 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
74%
Alexandre Kalil
9%
Mateus Simões
5%
Gabriel Azevedo
4%
Flávio Roscoe
3%
Patrus Ananias
3%
Benoni Mendes
1%
Rodrigo Pacheco
1%
Euclydes Pettersen
1%
Luís Eduardo Falcão
1%
Vittorio Medioli
1%
Nikolas Ferreira
<1%
Gleidson Azevedo
<1%
Aécio Neves
<1%
Marcelo Aro
<1%
Tadeu Leite
<1%
Alexandre Silveira
<1%
Cleitinho Azevedo 73.7%
Alexandre Kalil 9.1%
Mateus Simões 4.5%
Gabriel Azevedo 3.9%
$360,990 Vol.
$360,990 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
$155,604 Vol.
74%
Alexandre Kalil
$37,454 Vol.
9%
Mateus Simões
$31,840 Vol.
5%
Gabriel Azevedo
$9,323 Vol.
4%
Flávio Roscoe
$9,805 Vol.
3%
Patrus Ananias
$8,944 Vol.
3%
Benoni Mendes
$6,953 Vol.
1%
Rodrigo Pacheco
$20,603 Vol.
1%
Euclydes Pettersen
$4,929 Vol.
1%
Luís Eduardo Falcão
$7,312 Vol.
1%
Vittorio Medioli
$5,056 Vol.
1%
Nikolas Ferreira
$8,379 Vol.
<1%
Gleidson Azevedo
$4,715 Vol.
<1%
Aécio Neves
$4,934 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Aro
$33,848 Vol.
<1%
Tadeu Leite
$6,026 Vol.
<1%
Alexandre Silveira
$5,265 Vol.
<1%
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo holds the commanding lead in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus above 70 percent. Recent Datafolha polling from mid-August showed him at 32 percent in the first round, roughly double the support for nearest rivals Patrus Ananias and Alexandre Kalil. His position as a sitting senator with Republicanos backing, combined with steady center-right and evangelical voter consolidation, has widened the gap since earlier surveys. The fragmented opposition field, term limits on incumbent Romeu Zema, and absence of major late shifts have limited any viable challenge ahead of the October 4 vote, sustaining the current pricing.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$360,990End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo holds the commanding lead in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus above 70 percent. Recent Datafolha polling from mid-August showed him at 32 percent in the first round, roughly double the support for nearest rivals Patrus Ananias and Alexandre Kalil. His position as a sitting senator with Republicanos backing, combined with steady center-right and evangelical voter consolidation, has widened the gap since earlier surveys. The fragmented opposition field, term limits on incumbent Romeu Zema, and absence of major late shifts have limited any viable challenge ahead of the October 4 vote, sustaining the current pricing.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$360,990End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleitinho Azevedo holds the commanding lead in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus above 70 percent. Recent Datafolha polling from mid-August showed him at 32 percent in the first round, roughly double the support for nearest rivals Patrus Ananias and Alexandre Kalil. His position as a sitting senator with Republicanos backing, combined with steady center-right and evangelical voter consolidation, has widened the gap since earlier surveys. The fragmented opposition field, term limits on incumbent Romeu Zema, and absence of major late shifts have limited any viable challenge ahead of the October 4 vote, sustaining the current pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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