Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 29 likely falling between 8–12 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 10–12 °C. Northerly to northwesterly winds, expected to ease overnight, will limit strong radiational cooling while advecting milder maritime air; any clearing skies could allow temperatures to dip toward the lower end of that range near dawn. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 6–9 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors values slightly above average. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of resolution will be the key data points for traders assessing small shifts in wind strength or cloud cover.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
6°C or below 43%
16°C or higher 38%
10°C 27%
11°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
6°C or below
43%
7°C
5%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
25%
14°C
8%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
38%
6°C or below 43%
16°C or higher 38%
10°C 27%
11°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
6°C or below
$5 Vol.
43%
7°C
$5 Vol.
5%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$5 Vol.
8%
15°C
$5 Vol.
8%
16°C or higher
$5 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 29 likely falling between 8–12 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 10–12 °C. Northerly to northwesterly winds, expected to ease overnight, will limit strong radiational cooling while advecting milder maritime air; any clearing skies could allow temperatures to dip toward the lower end of that range near dawn. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 6–9 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors values slightly above average. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of resolution will be the key data points for traders assessing small shifts in wind strength or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 29 likely falling between 8–12 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 10–12 °C. Northerly to northwesterly winds, expected to ease overnight, will limit strong radiational cooling while advecting milder maritime air; any clearing skies could allow temperatures to dip toward the lower end of that range near dawn. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 6–9 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors values slightly above average. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of resolution will be the key data points for traders assessing small shifts in wind strength or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 29 likely falling between 8–12 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 10–12 °C. Northerly to northwesterly winds, expected to ease overnight, will limit strong radiational cooling while advecting milder maritime air; any clearing skies could allow temperatures to dip toward the lower end of that range near dawn. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 6–9 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors values slightly above average. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of resolution will be the key data points for traders assessing small shifts in wind strength or cloud cover.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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