Traders have coalesced around a 56-57°F low for Seattle on August 24, driven by National Weather Service observations from Sea-Tac Airport confirming overnight minimums in that narrow band under a stable marine layer and weak onshore flow. NOAA model runs showed limited nocturnal cooling consistent with late-August climatology, where average lows range 54-58°F, and no significant cold-air advection occurred. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects high-confidence surface data and ensemble agreement, though modest revisions to official station readings or localized urban heat-island effects could still shift final resolution if post-processing adjustments emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seattle on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on August 24?
56-57°F 99%
54-55°F 2%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
$3,110 Vol.
$3,110 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
99%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
56-57°F 99%
54-55°F 2%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
$3,110 Vol.
$3,110 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
49°F or below
$338 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$275 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$89 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$240 Vol.
2%
56-57°F
$286 Vol.
99%
58-59°F
$336 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$343 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$362 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$351 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$195 Vol.
<1%
68°F or higher
$295 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have coalesced around a 56-57°F low for Seattle on August 24, driven by National Weather Service observations from Sea-Tac Airport confirming overnight minimums in that narrow band under a stable marine layer and weak onshore flow. NOAA model runs showed limited nocturnal cooling consistent with late-August climatology, where average lows range 54-58°F, and no significant cold-air advection occurred. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects high-confidence surface data and ensemble agreement, though modest revisions to official station readings or localized urban heat-island effects could still shift final resolution if post-processing adjustments emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$3,110End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have coalesced around a 56-57°F low for Seattle on August 24, driven by National Weather Service observations from Sea-Tac Airport confirming overnight minimums in that narrow band under a stable marine layer and weak onshore flow. NOAA model runs showed limited nocturnal cooling consistent with late-August climatology, where average lows range 54-58°F, and no significant cold-air advection occurred. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects high-confidence surface data and ensemble agreement, though modest revisions to official station readings or localized urban heat-island effects could still shift final resolution if post-processing adjustments emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,110End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have coalesced around a 56-57°F low for Seattle on August 24, driven by National Weather Service observations from Sea-Tac Airport confirming overnight minimums in that narrow band under a stable marine layer and weak onshore flow. NOAA model runs showed limited nocturnal cooling consistent with late-August climatology, where average lows range 54-58°F, and no significant cold-air advection occurred. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects high-confidence surface data and ensemble agreement, though modest revisions to official station readings or localized urban heat-island effects could still shift final resolution if post-processing adjustments emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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