Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and global models indicate Chongqing's overnight low on August 27 will likely fall between 27–29 °C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high dew points near 25 °C that limit radiative cooling. Scattered showers tied to the peripheral flow of tropical system Zitan may increase cloud cover and humidity overnight, moderating minimum temperatures, while clear spells could allow slightly lower readings near 26–27 °C. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further compress the range. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered around 28–29 °C at 26 % each, traders are weighting these thermodynamic and boundary-layer factors against model spread on timing of any convective activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 27?
24°C or below 51%
34°C or higher 51%
26°C 49%
27°C 49%
24°C or below
51%
25°C
43%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
2%
31°C
49%
32°C
38%
33°C
38%
34°C or higher
51%
24°C or below 51%
34°C or higher 51%
26°C 49%
27°C 49%
24°C or below
51%
25°C
43%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
2%
31°C
49%
32°C
38%
33°C
38%
34°C or higher
51%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and global models indicate Chongqing's overnight low on August 27 will likely fall between 27–29 °C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high dew points near 25 °C that limit radiative cooling. Scattered showers tied to the peripheral flow of tropical system Zitan may increase cloud cover and humidity overnight, moderating minimum temperatures, while clear spells could allow slightly lower readings near 26–27 °C. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further compress the range. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered around 28–29 °C at 26 % each, traders are weighting these thermodynamic and boundary-layer factors against model spread on timing of any convective activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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