Trader consensus on a 31°C high for Singapore on August 26 reflects real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the Meteorological Service Singapore and international sources, pointing to afternoon peaks near this threshold amid typical southwest monsoon conditions with scattered thundery showers. Recent monitoring shows daytime maxima hovering around 31–32°C with high humidity and light southeasterly winds limiting further intensification, consistent with August climatology where averages reach about 30.9°C. This market-implied outcome aligns with the latest agency guidance and station readings, though realistic shifts could arise from localized convective cooling, revised model runs, or measurement variations at official sites that alter the recorded peak by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 26?
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$62,553 Vol.
$62,553 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$62,553 Vol.
$62,553 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus on a 31°C high for Singapore on August 26 reflects real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the Meteorological Service Singapore and international sources, pointing to afternoon peaks near this threshold amid typical southwest monsoon conditions with scattered thundery showers. Recent monitoring shows daytime maxima hovering around 31–32°C with high humidity and light southeasterly winds limiting further intensification, consistent with August climatology where averages reach about 30.9°C. This market-implied outcome aligns with the latest agency guidance and station readings, though realistic shifts could arise from localized convective cooling, revised model runs, or measurement variations at official sites that alter the recorded peak by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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