Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models, including those referenced by the Met Office, converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C for Paris on August 26, 2026, under initially clear then increasingly cloudy skies with afternoon warming to that level. This aligns with current observations showing temperatures climbing steadily into the upper 20s amid light easterly winds and moderate humidity. The market-implied 100% consensus on 29°C reflects traders' confidence in this stable forecast consensus, well above the historical average high near 24°C. Minor deviations remain possible from localized cloud buildup, precipitation timing, or station-specific measurements, though no major model shifts suggest a change before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 26?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 26?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$80,874 Vol.
$80,874 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$80,874 Vol.
$80,874 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$1,310 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,831 Vol.
No
25°C
$640 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,467 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,214 Vol.
No
28°C
$10,719 Vol.
No
29°C
$24,031 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$13,790 Vol.
No
31°C
$9,641 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,779 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$5,453 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models, including those referenced by the Met Office, converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C for Paris on August 26, 2026, under initially clear then increasingly cloudy skies with afternoon warming to that level. This aligns with current observations showing temperatures climbing steadily into the upper 20s amid light easterly winds and moderate humidity. The market-implied 100% consensus on 29°C reflects traders' confidence in this stable forecast consensus, well above the historical average high near 24°C. Minor deviations remain possible from localized cloud buildup, precipitation timing, or station-specific measurements, though no major model shifts suggest a change before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$80,874End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models, including those referenced by the Met Office, converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C for Paris on August 26, 2026, under initially clear then increasingly cloudy skies with afternoon warming to that level. This aligns with current observations showing temperatures climbing steadily into the upper 20s amid light easterly winds and moderate humidity. The market-implied 100% consensus on 29°C reflects traders' confidence in this stable forecast consensus, well above the historical average high near 24°C. Minor deviations remain possible from localized cloud buildup, precipitation timing, or station-specific measurements, though no major model shifts suggest a change before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80,874End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models, including those referenced by the Met Office, converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C for Paris on August 26, 2026, under initially clear then increasingly cloudy skies with afternoon warming to that level. This aligns with current observations showing temperatures climbing steadily into the upper 20s amid light easterly winds and moderate humidity. The market-implied 100% consensus on 29°C reflects traders' confidence in this stable forecast consensus, well above the historical average high near 24°C. Minor deviations remain possible from localized cloud buildup, precipitation timing, or station-specific measurements, though no major model shifts suggest a change before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions