Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park station recorded a daily maximum of 79°F on August 25, 2026, confirming the market-implied outcome for the 78-79°F range. Northwest winds, mostly cloudy skies, and a 24-hour high near 82°F earlier in the period limited daytime warming below the long-term average high of 82.1°F. This outcome aligns with cooler air advection and reduced solar heating typical of late-summer steering patterns. Resolution rests on verified station data rather than forecasts, though minor post-event adjustments to preliminary readings remain the only realistic path to a different bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 25?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 25?
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$124,262 Vol.
$124,262 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$124,262 Vol.
$124,262 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
67°F or below
$208 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$288 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$588 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$2,293 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$9,918 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$26,514 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$30,998 Vol.
Yes
80-81°F
$35,766 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$11,772 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$5,080 Vol.
No
86°F or higher
$838 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park station recorded a daily maximum of 79°F on August 25, 2026, confirming the market-implied outcome for the 78-79°F range. Northwest winds, mostly cloudy skies, and a 24-hour high near 82°F earlier in the period limited daytime warming below the long-term average high of 82.1°F. This outcome aligns with cooler air advection and reduced solar heating typical of late-summer steering patterns. Resolution rests on verified station data rather than forecasts, though minor post-event adjustments to preliminary readings remain the only realistic path to a different bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$124,262End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park station recorded a daily maximum of 79°F on August 25, 2026, confirming the market-implied outcome for the 78-79°F range. Northwest winds, mostly cloudy skies, and a 24-hour high near 82°F earlier in the period limited daytime warming below the long-term average high of 82.1°F. This outcome aligns with cooler air advection and reduced solar heating typical of late-summer steering patterns. Resolution rests on verified station data rather than forecasts, though minor post-event adjustments to preliminary readings remain the only realistic path to a different bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$124,262End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park station recorded a daily maximum of 79°F on August 25, 2026, confirming the market-implied outcome for the 78-79°F range. Northwest winds, mostly cloudy skies, and a 24-hour high near 82°F earlier in the period limited daytime warming below the long-term average high of 82.1°F. This outcome aligns with cooler air advection and reduced solar heating typical of late-summer steering patterns. Resolution rests on verified station data rather than forecasts, though minor post-event adjustments to preliminary readings remain the only realistic path to a different bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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