Recent forecast guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicates a daytime maximum of 26–27°C for Munich on August 26 under variable cloud cover, possible early showers, and light westerly flow that limits strong solar heating. These conditions create tight differentiation between the leading 26°C (35.5%) and 27°C (31.0%) outcomes, as modest shifts in timing of any clearing or precipitation can alter the peak by 1°C. Model consensus and historical late-August baselines near 23–25°C support the current tight clustering, though small revisions in the next 24-hour runs could tip trader sentiment between the two brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 26?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 26?
26°C 38%
27°C 32%
25°C 18%
28°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
18%
26°C
38%
27°C
32%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 38%
27°C 32%
25°C 18%
28°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
$147 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$55 Vol.
2%
24°C
$115 Vol.
5%
25°C
$879 Vol.
18%
26°C
$159 Vol.
38%
27°C
$251 Vol.
32%
28°C
$445 Vol.
9%
29°C
$192 Vol.
2%
30°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$118 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicates a daytime maximum of 26–27°C for Munich on August 26 under variable cloud cover, possible early showers, and light westerly flow that limits strong solar heating. These conditions create tight differentiation between the leading 26°C (35.5%) and 27°C (31.0%) outcomes, as modest shifts in timing of any clearing or precipitation can alter the peak by 1°C. Model consensus and historical late-August baselines near 23–25°C support the current tight clustering, though small revisions in the next 24-hour runs could tip trader sentiment between the two brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,553End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicates a daytime maximum of 26–27°C for Munich on August 26 under variable cloud cover, possible early showers, and light westerly flow that limits strong solar heating. These conditions create tight differentiation between the leading 26°C (35.5%) and 27°C (31.0%) outcomes, as modest shifts in timing of any clearing or precipitation can alter the peak by 1°C. Model consensus and historical late-August baselines near 23–25°C support the current tight clustering, though small revisions in the next 24-hour runs could tip trader sentiment between the two brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,553End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicates a daytime maximum of 26–27°C for Munich on August 26 under variable cloud cover, possible early showers, and light westerly flow that limits strong solar heating. These conditions create tight differentiation between the leading 26°C (35.5%) and 27°C (31.0%) outcomes, as modest shifts in timing of any clearing or precipitation can alter the peak by 1°C. Model consensus and historical late-August baselines near 23–25°C support the current tight clustering, though small revisions in the next 24-hour runs could tip trader sentiment between the two brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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