Recent polling in Amazonas shows Eduardo Braga maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, leaving a tightly contested battle for second place among Capitão Alberto Neto, Wilson Lima, and Plínio Valério. Regional divides shape the race, with Alberto Neto polling stronger in Manaus and Wilson Lima competitive in the interior. August surveys indicate technical ties or narrow margins between the top challengers for the second position, consistent with trader pricing near parity. Upcoming campaign events, candidate alliances, and voter turnout shifts in key areas could widen gaps before the October 4 election. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current odds highlights ongoing uncertainty over which contender consolidates enough support to secure the runner-up spot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCapitão Alberto Neto 47%
Wilson Lima 45%
Eduardo Braga 7%
Plinio Valério 6.1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Alberto Neto
47%
Wilson Lima
45%
Eduardo Braga
7%
Plinio Valério
6%
Dailson Corrêa
1%
Ismael Munduruku
1%
Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
Professora Evany
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%
Capitão Alberto Neto 47%
Wilson Lima 45%
Eduardo Braga 7%
Plinio Valério 6.1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Alberto Neto
$2,060 Vol.
47%
Wilson Lima
$1,333 Vol.
45%
Eduardo Braga
$1,067 Vol.
7%
Plinio Valério
$507 Vol.
6%
Dailson Corrêa
$379 Vol.
1%
Ismael Munduruku
$354 Vol.
1%
Evandro de Oliveira
$381 Vol.
<1%
Professora Evany
$647 Vol.
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$626 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Amazonas shows Eduardo Braga maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, leaving a tightly contested battle for second place among Capitão Alberto Neto, Wilson Lima, and Plínio Valério. Regional divides shape the race, with Alberto Neto polling stronger in Manaus and Wilson Lima competitive in the interior. August surveys indicate technical ties or narrow margins between the top challengers for the second position, consistent with trader pricing near parity. Upcoming campaign events, candidate alliances, and voter turnout shifts in key areas could widen gaps before the October 4 election. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current odds highlights ongoing uncertainty over which contender consolidates enough support to secure the runner-up spot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET
Volume
$7,353End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Amazonas shows Eduardo Braga maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, leaving a tightly contested battle for second place among Capitão Alberto Neto, Wilson Lima, and Plínio Valério. Regional divides shape the race, with Alberto Neto polling stronger in Manaus and Wilson Lima competitive in the interior. August surveys indicate technical ties or narrow margins between the top challengers for the second position, consistent with trader pricing near parity. Upcoming campaign events, candidate alliances, and voter turnout shifts in key areas could widen gaps before the October 4 election. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current odds highlights ongoing uncertainty over which contender consolidates enough support to secure the runner-up spot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$7,353End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Amazonas shows Eduardo Braga maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, leaving a tightly contested battle for second place among Capitão Alberto Neto, Wilson Lima, and Plínio Valério. Regional divides shape the race, with Alberto Neto polling stronger in Manaus and Wilson Lima competitive in the interior. August surveys indicate technical ties or narrow margins between the top challengers for the second position, consistent with trader pricing near parity. Upcoming campaign events, candidate alliances, and voter turnout shifts in key areas could widen gaps before the October 4 election. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current odds highlights ongoing uncertainty over which contender consolidates enough support to secure the runner-up spot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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