Recent polling averages show Eduardo Braga (MDB) firmly ahead for one Amazonas Senate seat, leaving a tight contest for second among Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and Plínio Valério (PSDB). Neto performs strongly in Manaus while Lima draws support in the interior; Valério registers competitive second-preference numbers. With official candidacies confirmed and the October 4 first round approaching, these geographic and preference patterns have kept the implied probabilities for second place closely matched between the leading contenders, with limited separation in the latest surveys.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCapitão Alberto Neto 47%
Wilson Lima 45%
Eduardo Braga 7%
Plinio Valério 6.1%

Capitão Alberto Neto
47%

Wilson Lima
45%

Eduardo Braga
7%

Plinio Valério
6%

Dailson Corrêa
1%

Ismael Munduruku
1%

Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%

Evandro de Oliveira
<1%

Professora Evany
<1%
Capitão Alberto Neto 47%
Wilson Lima 45%
Eduardo Braga 7%
Plinio Valério 6.1%

Capitão Alberto Neto
47%

Wilson Lima
45%

Eduardo Braga
7%

Plinio Valério
6%

Dailson Corrêa
1%

Ismael Munduruku
1%

Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%

Evandro de Oliveira
<1%

Professora Evany
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages show Eduardo Braga (MDB) firmly ahead for one Amazonas Senate seat, leaving a tight contest for second among Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and Plínio Valério (PSDB). Neto performs strongly in Manaus while Lima draws support in the interior; Valério registers competitive second-preference numbers. With official candidacies confirmed and the October 4 first round approaching, these geographic and preference patterns have kept the implied probabilities for second place closely matched between the leading contenders, with limited separation in the latest surveys.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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