Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds a clear lead in recent polling for first place in Amapá’s Senate race, with 43% intent for the initial vacancy and 27% combined across both seats in the latest Quaest survey conducted August 21–24. Her position benefits from alignment with her husband Dr. Furlan’s strong gubernatorial candidacy and prior 2022 Senate performance. Incumbent senators Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) trail in second-vacancy scenarios at 16% and 25% respectively. With the October election two months away, these results and candidate alliances have shaped trader consensus around Furlan as the frontrunner while leaving lower probabilities for other listed contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRayssa Furlan 78%
Lucas Barreto 10.6%
Professor Uzian Pinto 6.7%
Alliny Serrão 5.5%
$11,036 Vol.
$11,036 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rayssa Furlan
78%
Lucas Barreto
11%
Professor Uzian Pinto
7%
Alliny Serrão
5%
Randolfe
3%
Helio Silva
2%
Acácio Favacho
2%
Capi
1%
Juíza Jô
1%
Rayssa Furlan 78%
Lucas Barreto 10.6%
Professor Uzian Pinto 6.7%
Alliny Serrão 5.5%
$11,036 Vol.
$11,036 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rayssa Furlan
$9,264 Vol.
78%
Lucas Barreto
$255 Vol.
11%
Professor Uzian Pinto
$223 Vol.
7%
Alliny Serrão
$234 Vol.
5%
Randolfe
$154 Vol.
3%
Helio Silva
$149 Vol.
2%
Acácio Favacho
$154 Vol.
2%
Capi
$269 Vol.
1%
Juíza Jô
$335 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds a clear lead in recent polling for first place in Amapá’s Senate race, with 43% intent for the initial vacancy and 27% combined across both seats in the latest Quaest survey conducted August 21–24. Her position benefits from alignment with her husband Dr. Furlan’s strong gubernatorial candidacy and prior 2022 Senate performance. Incumbent senators Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) trail in second-vacancy scenarios at 16% and 25% respectively. With the October election two months away, these results and candidate alliances have shaped trader consensus around Furlan as the frontrunner while leaving lower probabilities for other listed contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volume
$11,036End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds a clear lead in recent polling for first place in Amapá’s Senate race, with 43% intent for the initial vacancy and 27% combined across both seats in the latest Quaest survey conducted August 21–24. Her position benefits from alignment with her husband Dr. Furlan’s strong gubernatorial candidacy and prior 2022 Senate performance. Incumbent senators Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) trail in second-vacancy scenarios at 16% and 25% respectively. With the October election two months away, these results and candidate alliances have shaped trader consensus around Furlan as the frontrunner while leaving lower probabilities for other listed contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$11,036End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds a clear lead in recent polling for first place in Amapá’s Senate race, with 43% intent for the initial vacancy and 27% combined across both seats in the latest Quaest survey conducted August 21–24. Her position benefits from alignment with her husband Dr. Furlan’s strong gubernatorial candidacy and prior 2022 Senate performance. Incumbent senators Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) trail in second-vacancy scenarios at 16% and 25% respectively. With the October election two months away, these results and candidate alliances have shaped trader consensus around Furlan as the frontrunner while leaving lower probabilities for other listed contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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