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Politics·Brazil

Alagoas Governor Election Winner

icon for Alagoas Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Alagoas Governor Election Winner

JHC 63%

Renan Filho 37%

Márcio Jambo <1%

Lenilda Luna <1%

Polymarket
NEW

JHC 63%

Renan Filho 37%

Márcio Jambo <1%

Lenilda Luna <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for JHC

JHC

$1,925 Vol.

63%

icon for Renan Filho

Renan Filho

$2,384 Vol.

37%

icon for Márcio Jambo

Márcio Jambo

$302 Vol.

1%

icon for Lenilda Luna

Lenilda Luna

$322 Vol.

<1%

The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent developments center on the August 15, 2026, closure of candidate registrations for Alagoas's October gubernatorial election, confirming JHC (PSDB) on a ticket with Célia Rocha as vice and Renan Filho (MDB) with Yale Fernandes. Polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Falpe, and TDL shows a tight first-round contest between the two, with JHC often edging ahead in stimulated and valid-vote scenarios amid differing regional strategies—JHC leveraging capital Maceió support and Renan Filho drawing on state administrative continuity and interior networks. Trader consensus reflected in the 62.5% price for JHC versus 37% for Renan Filho aligns with these surveys and the limited viability of fringe options such as Márcio Jambo or Lenilda Luna, while placeholders capture residual uncertainty over final alliances or turnout shifts before voting.

The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$4,934
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent developments center on the August 15, 2026, closure of candidate registrations for Alagoas's October gubernatorial election, confirming JHC (PSDB) on a ticket with Célia Rocha as vice and Renan Filho (MDB) with Yale Fernandes. Polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Falpe, and TDL shows a tight first-round contest between the two, with JHC often edging ahead in stimulated and valid-vote scenarios amid differing regional strategies—JHC leveraging capital Maceió support and Renan Filho drawing on state administrative continuity and interior networks. Trader consensus reflected in the 62.5% price for JHC versus 37% for Renan Filho aligns with these surveys and the limited viability of fringe options such as Márcio Jambo or Lenilda Luna, while placeholders capture residual uncertainty over final alliances or turnout shifts before voting.

The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$4,934
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Alagoas Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JHC" at 63%, followed by "Renan Filho" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Alagoas Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Alagoas Governor Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alagoas Governor Election Winner" is "JHC" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Renan Filho" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alagoas Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.