Forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project Shanghai’s overnight low on August 26 near 25–26°C amid stable subtropical high pressure and light easterly flow, with minimal overnight cooling expected under partly cloudy skies and high humidity. This aligns with historical late-August baselines of 25–27°C and follows the prior day’s confirmed 27°C minimum, reinforcing trader consensus around 26–27°C outcomes. No active typhoon or frontal systems are forecast to alter radiative cooling or advection patterns before resolution, though minor model spread in dew point and wind could nudge the exact low by 1°C. Updated guidance ahead of sunrise will determine final positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
27°C 57%
26°C 34%
25°C 7%
28°C 6%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
34%
27°C
57%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 57%
26°C 34%
25°C 7%
28°C 6%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
34%
27°C
57%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project Shanghai’s overnight low on August 26 near 25–26°C amid stable subtropical high pressure and light easterly flow, with minimal overnight cooling expected under partly cloudy skies and high humidity. This aligns with historical late-August baselines of 25–27°C and follows the prior day’s confirmed 27°C minimum, reinforcing trader consensus around 26–27°C outcomes. No active typhoon or frontal systems are forecast to alter radiative cooling or advection patterns before resolution, though minor model spread in dew point and wind could nudge the exact low by 1°C. Updated guidance ahead of sunrise will determine final positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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