**Forecasts from multiple models place Amsterdam’s overnight low on August 27 in the 15–18 °C range, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–18 °C.** Persistent easterly flow under high pressure has maintained mild overnight temperatures several degrees above the late-August climatological normal of ~12.7 °C. Incoming model consensus shows a weak frontal boundary and scattered showers arriving late on the 27th, with cloud cover and light winds limiting radiative cooling and keeping the minimum near 15–17 °C according to the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty mainly in the exact timing of any showers rather than large temperature swings. Updated runs from KNMI and global centers over the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key refinement ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
16°C 42%
17°C 31%
18°C 31%
19°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
13%
14°C
1%
15°C
10%
16°C
42%
17°C
31%
18°C
31%
19°C
17%
20°C
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
10%
16°C 42%
17°C 31%
18°C 31%
19°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
$5 Vol.
13%
14°C
$15 Vol.
1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
10%
16°C
$0 Vol.
42%
17°C
$0 Vol.
31%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
17%
20°C
$15 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
8%
22°C
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple models place Amsterdam’s overnight low on August 27 in the 15–18 °C range, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–18 °C.** Persistent easterly flow under high pressure has maintained mild overnight temperatures several degrees above the late-August climatological normal of ~12.7 °C. Incoming model consensus shows a weak frontal boundary and scattered showers arriving late on the 27th, with cloud cover and light winds limiting radiative cooling and keeping the minimum near 15–17 °C according to the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty mainly in the exact timing of any showers rather than large temperature swings. Updated runs from KNMI and global centers over the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key refinement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$50End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple models place Amsterdam’s overnight low on August 27 in the 15–18 °C range, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–18 °C.** Persistent easterly flow under high pressure has maintained mild overnight temperatures several degrees above the late-August climatological normal of ~12.7 °C. Incoming model consensus shows a weak frontal boundary and scattered showers arriving late on the 27th, with cloud cover and light winds limiting radiative cooling and keeping the minimum near 15–17 °C according to the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty mainly in the exact timing of any showers rather than large temperature swings. Updated runs from KNMI and global centers over the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key refinement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from multiple models place Amsterdam’s overnight low on August 27 in the 15–18 °C range, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–18 °C.** Persistent easterly flow under high pressure has maintained mild overnight temperatures several degrees above the late-August climatological normal of ~12.7 °C. Incoming model consensus shows a weak frontal boundary and scattered showers arriving late on the 27th, with cloud cover and light winds limiting radiative cooling and keeping the minimum near 15–17 °C according to the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty mainly in the exact timing of any showers rather than large temperature swings. Updated runs from KNMI and global centers over the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key refinement ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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