**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26, 2026, has consolidated at 31°C with near-certainty due to real-time observational data and model consensus showing this as the daily maximum.** Persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall associated with the East Asian monsoon have limited solar insolation and produced evaporative cooling, keeping afternoon readings from exceeding this threshold despite the region's typical August subtropical warmth. Official monitoring from sources like the China Meteorological Administration aligns with forecasts indicating peaks near 31°C amid high humidity and southeasterly flow. This positioning could shift only if convective activity diminishes earlier than expected, allowing greater surface heating and pushing readings to 32°C or above before sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$47,953 Vol.
$47,953 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$47,953 Vol.
$47,953 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26, 2026, has consolidated at 31°C with near-certainty due to real-time observational data and model consensus showing this as the daily maximum.** Persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall associated with the East Asian monsoon have limited solar insolation and produced evaporative cooling, keeping afternoon readings from exceeding this threshold despite the region's typical August subtropical warmth. Official monitoring from sources like the China Meteorological Administration aligns with forecasts indicating peaks near 31°C amid high humidity and southeasterly flow. This positioning could shift only if convective activity diminishes earlier than expected, allowing greater surface heating and pushing readings to 32°C or above before sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions