Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading combined Senate vote intentions at 17%, with Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) clustered tightly at 11%, 11%, and 10%. High undecided shares (26%) and low spontaneous recognition keep the race for second place fluid in this two-seat contest. Multiple PL-aligned candidates split the dominant right-wing electorate, while earlier surveys showed shifting leads between Cristina and Máximo before Confúcio Moura's withdrawal. Voter ability to select two names, ongoing party alliances, and limited campaign visibility until October 4 sustain the close trader pricing among the top contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Rondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sílvia Cristina 37%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 25%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 15.8%
Mariana Carvalho 15.0%
$16,514 Vol.
$16,514 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sílvia Cristina
37%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
27%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
10%
Mariana Carvalho
15%
Acir Gurgacz
7%
Luciana Oliveira
3%
Aires Mota
3%
Neidinha
1%
Luis Fernando
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
1%
Sílvia Cristina 37%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 25%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 15.8%
Mariana Carvalho 15.0%
$16,514 Vol.
$16,514 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sílvia Cristina
$8,788 Vol.
37%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$3,642 Vol.
27%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$969 Vol.
10%
Mariana Carvalho
$307 Vol.
15%
Acir Gurgacz
$743 Vol.
7%
Luciana Oliveira
$239 Vol.
3%
Aires Mota
$501 Vol.
3%
Neidinha
$211 Vol.
1%
Luis Fernando
$312 Vol.
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
$803 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading combined Senate vote intentions at 17%, with Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) clustered tightly at 11%, 11%, and 10%. High undecided shares (26%) and low spontaneous recognition keep the race for second place fluid in this two-seat contest. Multiple PL-aligned candidates split the dominant right-wing electorate, while earlier surveys showed shifting leads between Cristina and Máximo before Confúcio Moura's withdrawal. Voter ability to select two names, ongoing party alliances, and limited campaign visibility until October 4 sustain the close trader pricing among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Volume
$16,514End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading combined Senate vote intentions at 17%, with Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) clustered tightly at 11%, 11%, and 10%. High undecided shares (26%) and low spontaneous recognition keep the race for second place fluid in this two-seat contest. Multiple PL-aligned candidates split the dominant right-wing electorate, while earlier surveys showed shifting leads between Cristina and Máximo before Confúcio Moura's withdrawal. Voter ability to select two names, ongoing party alliances, and limited campaign visibility until October 4 sustain the close trader pricing among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,514End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading combined Senate vote intentions at 17%, with Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) clustered tightly at 11%, 11%, and 10%. High undecided shares (26%) and low spontaneous recognition keep the race for second place fluid in this two-seat contest. Multiple PL-aligned candidates split the dominant right-wing electorate, while earlier surveys showed shifting leads between Cristina and Máximo before Confúcio Moura's withdrawal. Voter ability to select two names, ongoing party alliances, and limited campaign visibility until October 4 sustain the close trader pricing among the top contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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