**Zionist Home (led by Yoaz Hendel and former Blue and White MK Chili Tropper) formed as a distinct center-right alliance in July 2026 after Tropper’s departure from Benny Gantz’s party.** The new slate, rebranded Zionist Home–The Reservists, emphasizes a broad Zionist government, mandatory conscription, and separation from Haredi parties—positions that diverged from Blue and White’s trajectory. Recent August 2026 polls (Zman Yisrael/Times of Israel, Walla, Channel 12) consistently list the two as separate entities, with both frequently projected below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold alongside other small parties. No public negotiations, announcements, or polling scenarios indicate a joint list; Gantz has instead explored alliances with figures such as Dedi Simchi or Gilad Erdan’s Unity party. Zionist Home leaders have conditioned coalition participation on specific demands that align with their independent “third bloc” positioning rather than reintegration. The absence of any merger signals in the final weeks before the October 27 election reinforces trader consensus that the parties will contest the Knesset on separate lists.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated12% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
12% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zionist Home and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**Zionist Home (led by Yoaz Hendel and former Blue and White MK Chili Tropper) formed as a distinct center-right alliance in July 2026 after Tropper’s departure from Benny Gantz’s party.** The new slate, rebranded Zionist Home–The Reservists, emphasizes a broad Zionist government, mandatory conscription, and separation from Haredi parties—positions that diverged from Blue and White’s trajectory.
Recent August 2026 polls (Zman Yisrael/Times of Israel, Walla, Channel 12) consistently list the two as separate entities, with both frequently projected below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold alongside other small parties. No public negotiations, announcements, or polling scenarios indicate a joint list; Gantz has instead explored alliances with figures such as Dedi Simchi or Gilad Erdan’s Unity party.
Zionist Home leaders have conditioned coalition participation on specific demands that align with their independent “third bloc” positioning rather than reintegration. The absence of any merger signals in the final weeks before the October 27 election reinforces trader consensus that the parties will contest the Knesset on separate lists.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zionist Home and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zionist Home and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zionist Home and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**Zionist Home (led by Yoaz Hendel and former Blue and White MK Chili Tropper) formed as a distinct center-right alliance in July 2026 after Tropper’s departure from Benny Gantz’s party.** The new slate, rebranded Zionist Home–The Reservists, emphasizes a broad Zionist government, mandatory conscription, and separation from Haredi parties—positions that diverged from Blue and White’s trajectory.
Recent August 2026 polls (Zman Yisrael/Times of Israel, Walla, Channel 12) consistently list the two as separate entities, with both frequently projected below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold alongside other small parties. No public negotiations, announcements, or polling scenarios indicate a joint list; Gantz has instead explored alliances with figures such as Dedi Simchi or Gilad Erdan’s Unity party.
Zionist Home leaders have conditioned coalition participation on specific demands that align with their independent “third bloc” positioning rather than reintegration. The absence of any merger signals in the final weeks before the October 27 election reinforces trader consensus that the parties will contest the Knesset on separate lists.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zionist Home and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zionist Home and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Zionist Home (led by Yoaz Hendel and former Blue and White MK Chili Tropper) formed as a distinct center-right alliance in July 2026 after Tropper’s departure from Benny Gantz’s party.** The new slate, rebranded Zionist Home–The Reservists, emphasizes a broad Zionist government, mandatory conscription, and separation from Haredi parties—positions that diverged from Blue and White’s trajectory. Recent August 2026 polls (Zman Yisrael/Times of Israel, Walla, Channel 12) consistently list the two as separate entities, with both frequently projected below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold alongside other small parties. No public negotiations, announcements, or polling scenarios indicate a joint list; Gantz has instead explored alliances with figures such as Dedi Simchi or Gilad Erdan’s Unity party. Zionist Home leaders have conditioned coalition participation on specific demands that align with their independent “third bloc” positioning rather than reintegration. The absence of any merger signals in the final weeks before the October 27 election reinforces trader consensus that the parties will contest the Knesset on separate lists.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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