US-mediated negotiations between Israel and Lebanon have produced a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement that outlines pilot zones for Lebanese army deployment, conditional Israeli withdrawals from limited southern areas, and a verified process to disarm Hezbollah. Seven rounds of ambassador-level talks, hosted first in Washington and later in Rome, have continued into August 2026, with the most recent session addressing border issues, military coordination, and implementation standards. Progress remains incremental and tied to measurable Lebanese state control over territory, amid ongoing Israeli operations against Hezbollah targets and the group's rejection of disarmament prior to full withdrawal. Upcoming technical working groups and any further Rome or Washington sessions could influence timelines for additional direct meetings or expanded arrangements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$116,598 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
August 31
10%
September 9
34%
September 11
31%
September 13
32%
September 15
55%
September 30
78%
$116,598 Vol.
August 31
$93,449 Vol.
10%
September 9
$3,078 Vol.
34%
September 11
$0 Vol.
31%
September 13
$0 Vol.
32%
September 15
$3,035 Vol.
55%
September 30
$17,037 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated negotiations between Israel and Lebanon have produced a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement that outlines pilot zones for Lebanese army deployment, conditional Israeli withdrawals from limited southern areas, and a verified process to disarm Hezbollah. Seven rounds of ambassador-level talks, hosted first in Washington and later in Rome, have continued into August 2026, with the most recent session addressing border issues, military coordination, and implementation standards. Progress remains incremental and tied to measurable Lebanese state control over territory, amid ongoing Israeli operations against Hezbollah targets and the group's rejection of disarmament prior to full withdrawal. Upcoming technical working groups and any further Rome or Washington sessions could influence timelines for additional direct meetings or expanded arrangements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volume
$116,598End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated negotiations between Israel and Lebanon have produced a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement that outlines pilot zones for Lebanese army deployment, conditional Israeli withdrawals from limited southern areas, and a verified process to disarm Hezbollah. Seven rounds of ambassador-level talks, hosted first in Washington and later in Rome, have continued into August 2026, with the most recent session addressing border issues, military coordination, and implementation standards. Progress remains incremental and tied to measurable Lebanese state control over territory, amid ongoing Israeli operations against Hezbollah targets and the group's rejection of disarmament prior to full withdrawal. Upcoming technical working groups and any further Rome or Washington sessions could influence timelines for additional direct meetings or expanded arrangements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$116,598End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated negotiations between Israel and Lebanon have produced a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement that outlines pilot zones for Lebanese army deployment, conditional Israeli withdrawals from limited southern areas, and a verified process to disarm Hezbollah. Seven rounds of ambassador-level talks, hosted first in Washington and later in Rome, have continued into August 2026, with the most recent session addressing border issues, military coordination, and implementation standards. Progress remains incremental and tied to measurable Lebanese state control over territory, amid ongoing Israeli operations against Hezbollah targets and the group's rejection of disarmament prior to full withdrawal. Upcoming technical working groups and any further Rome or Washington sessions could influence timelines for additional direct meetings or expanded arrangements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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