**Persistent instability in Gaza, including Israel's August 2026 rejection of key elements in Trump's 15-point peace plan and ongoing strikes amid stalled Hamas disarmament talks, underpins the 95% "No" probability.** The fragile ceasefire reached in late 2025 has seen repeated violations, with no full Israeli withdrawal or complete stabilization achieved by mid-2026. Trump has engaged diplomatically through the Board of Peace and visits to Israel, including a Knesset address, but no public statements, schedules, or signals indicate plans to enter Gaza itself. Security constraints, unresolved territorial and governance issues, and standard presidential practice of conducting Middle East diplomacy from safer regional venues reinforce trader expectations that a direct 2026 visit remains highly unlikely absent major unforeseen breakthroughs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
5% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Persistent instability in Gaza, including Israel's August 2026 rejection of key elements in Trump's 15-point peace plan and ongoing strikes amid stalled Hamas disarmament talks, underpins the 95% "No" probability.** The fragile ceasefire reached in late 2025 has seen repeated violations, with no full Israeli withdrawal or complete stabilization achieved by mid-2026. Trump has engaged diplomatically through the Board of Peace and visits to Israel, including a Knesset address, but no public statements, schedules, or signals indicate plans to enter Gaza itself. Security constraints, unresolved territorial and governance issues, and standard presidential practice of conducting Middle East diplomacy from safer regional venues reinforce trader expectations that a direct 2026 visit remains highly unlikely absent major unforeseen breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Volume
$3,021End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Persistent instability in Gaza, including Israel's August 2026 rejection of key elements in Trump's 15-point peace plan and ongoing strikes amid stalled Hamas disarmament talks, underpins the 95% "No" probability.** The fragile ceasefire reached in late 2025 has seen repeated violations, with no full Israeli withdrawal or complete stabilization achieved by mid-2026. Trump has engaged diplomatically through the Board of Peace and visits to Israel, including a Knesset address, but no public statements, schedules, or signals indicate plans to enter Gaza itself. Security constraints, unresolved territorial and governance issues, and standard presidential practice of conducting Middle East diplomacy from safer regional venues reinforce trader expectations that a direct 2026 visit remains highly unlikely absent major unforeseen breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$3,021End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Persistent instability in Gaza, including Israel's August 2026 rejection of key elements in Trump's 15-point peace plan and ongoing strikes amid stalled Hamas disarmament talks, underpins the 95% "No" probability.** The fragile ceasefire reached in late 2025 has seen repeated violations, with no full Israeli withdrawal or complete stabilization achieved by mid-2026. Trump has engaged diplomatically through the Board of Peace and visits to Israel, including a Knesset address, but no public statements, schedules, or signals indicate plans to enter Gaza itself. Security constraints, unresolved territorial and governance issues, and standard presidential practice of conducting Middle East diplomacy from safer regional venues reinforce trader expectations that a direct 2026 visit remains highly unlikely absent major unforeseen breakthroughs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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