Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a consistent lead near 30 percent, while the Liberals, CAQ, and Conservatives cluster in the low-to-mid 20s and teens, leaving third place highly contested among those three parties. New leadership for the CAQ and Liberals, combined with roughly half of decided voters remaining open to switching preferences, sustains volatility in the popular vote shares. Regional variations and the split federalist vote further complicate the ordering behind the PQ front-runner. With the official campaign now underway ahead of the October 5 election, shifts in francophone support, turnout patterns, or late campaign events could alter which of the closely grouped contenders finishes third. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap and remaining uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCAQ 44%
PCQ 41%
PLQ 39%
PQ 26%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
CAQ
44%
PCQ
41%
PLQ
39%
PQ
26%
QS
19%
PVQ
4%
CAQ 44%
PCQ 41%
PLQ 39%
PQ 26%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
CAQ
$0 Vol.
44%
PCQ
$0 Vol.
41%
PLQ
$0 Vol.
39%
PQ
$0 Vol.
26%
QS
$61 Vol.
19%
PVQ
$167 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a consistent lead near 30 percent, while the Liberals, CAQ, and Conservatives cluster in the low-to-mid 20s and teens, leaving third place highly contested among those three parties. New leadership for the CAQ and Liberals, combined with roughly half of decided voters remaining open to switching preferences, sustains volatility in the popular vote shares. Regional variations and the split federalist vote further complicate the ordering behind the PQ front-runner. With the official campaign now underway ahead of the October 5 election, shifts in francophone support, turnout patterns, or late campaign events could alter which of the closely grouped contenders finishes third. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap and remaining uncertainty.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$228End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a consistent lead near 30 percent, while the Liberals, CAQ, and Conservatives cluster in the low-to-mid 20s and teens, leaving third place highly contested among those three parties. New leadership for the CAQ and Liberals, combined with roughly half of decided voters remaining open to switching preferences, sustains volatility in the popular vote shares. Regional variations and the split federalist vote further complicate the ordering behind the PQ front-runner. With the official campaign now underway ahead of the October 5 election, shifts in francophone support, turnout patterns, or late campaign events could alter which of the closely grouped contenders finishes third. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap and remaining uncertainty.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$228End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a consistent lead near 30 percent, while the Liberals, CAQ, and Conservatives cluster in the low-to-mid 20s and teens, leaving third place highly contested among those three parties. New leadership for the CAQ and Liberals, combined with roughly half of decided voters remaining open to switching preferences, sustains volatility in the popular vote shares. Regional variations and the split federalist vote further complicate the ordering behind the PQ front-runner. With the official campaign now underway ahead of the October 5 election, shifts in francophone support, turnout patterns, or late campaign events could alter which of the closely grouped contenders finishes third. Trader pricing reflects this narrow gap and remaining uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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