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World·Global Elections

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

icon for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
World·Global Elections

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

AfD 88%

SPD 13%

Linke <1%

FW <1%

Polymarket

$475,402 Vol.

AfD 88%

SPD 13%

Linke <1%

FW <1%

Polymarket

$475,402 Vol.

icon for AfD

AfD

$97,621 Vol.

88%

icon for SPD

SPD

$98,100 Vol.

13%

icon for Linke

Linke

$27,668 Vol.

<1%

icon for FW

FW

$36,709 Vol.

<1%

icon for CDU

CDU

$44,445 Vol.

<1%

icon for Grüne

Grüne

$71,444 Vol.

<1%

icon for FDP

FDP

$77,089 Vol.

<1%

icon for BSW

BSW

$22,326 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polls ahead of the September 20 election, with recent surveys from INSA and Infratest dimap placing the party at 36 percent against the incumbent SPD at 29 percent. This gap, stable for months amid broader eastern German trends favoring the AfD, underpins trader consensus that the party will secure the most seats. The SPD has narrowed the margin slightly in mid-August polling, yet remains behind its 2021 result, while CDU, Greens, Linke, and smaller parties trail further and face entry risks below the five-percent threshold. Coalition barriers and national momentum for the AfD reinforce the implied probability reflected in current market pricing.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$475,402
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polls ahead of the September 20 election, with recent surveys from INSA and Infratest dimap placing the party at 36 percent against the incumbent SPD at 29 percent. This gap, stable for months amid broader eastern German trends favoring the AfD, underpins trader consensus that the party will secure the most seats. The SPD has narrowed the margin slightly in mid-August polling, yet remains behind its 2021 result, while CDU, Greens, Linke, and smaller parties trail further and face entry risks below the five-percent threshold. Coalition barriers and national momentum for the AfD reinforce the implied probability reflected in current market pricing.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$475,402
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

Related

icon for Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

67%
icon for Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

88%
icon for Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

57%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "AfD" at 88%, followed by "SPD" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner" has generated $475.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner" is "AfD" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "SPD" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.