Recent polling for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election shows AfD leading with roughly 36 percent and SPD in second near 29 percent, leaving Die Linke and CDU competing for third. Linke has held steady near 11 percent in August surveys while CDU sits around 10 percent, giving traders consensus on Linke as the most probable third-place finisher. Smaller parties including Grüne, BSW, and FDP trail further back, reducing their odds. Stable trends over the past month, with no major campaign shifts or scandals altering the ordering, reinforce this positioning ahead of the final weeks of the race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLinke 67%
CDU 32%
SPD <1%
Grüne <1%
$12,464 Vol.
$12,464 Vol.

Linke
67%

CDU
32%

SPD
<1%

Grüne
<1%

FDP
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%

AfD
<1%
Linke 67%
CDU 32%
SPD <1%
Grüne <1%
$12,464 Vol.
$12,464 Vol.

Linke
67%

CDU
32%

SPD
<1%

Grüne
<1%

FDP
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%

AfD
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election shows AfD leading with roughly 36 percent and SPD in second near 29 percent, leaving Die Linke and CDU competing for third. Linke has held steady near 11 percent in August surveys while CDU sits around 10 percent, giving traders consensus on Linke as the most probable third-place finisher. Smaller parties including Grüne, BSW, and FDP trail further back, reducing their odds. Stable trends over the past month, with no major campaign shifts or scandals altering the ordering, reinforce this positioning ahead of the final weeks of the race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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