Recent polls for the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 4-5 percent, leaving the party hovering near the five-percent threshold amid AfD dominance near 42-43 percent and CDU support around 22-24 percent. Late-campaign efforts by lead candidate Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz focus on securing second votes to block an AfD majority while highlighting climate, education, and flood-protection priorities. With multiple smaller parties (FDP, BSW, and sometimes SPD) also clustered near the barrier, outcomes hinge on turnout among undecided voters and any late tactical shifts. These narrow polling margins sustain trader balance between the 3-5 percent and 5-7 percent bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3-5% 50%
5-7% 43%
7%+ 7.7%
<3% 3.3%
<3%
3%
3-5%
50%
5-7%
43%
7%+
8%
3-5% 50%
5-7% 43%
7%+ 7.7%
<3% 3.3%
<3%
3%
3-5%
50%
5-7%
43%
7%+
8%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 4-5 percent, leaving the party hovering near the five-percent threshold amid AfD dominance near 42-43 percent and CDU support around 22-24 percent. Late-campaign efforts by lead candidate Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz focus on securing second votes to block an AfD majority while highlighting climate, education, and flood-protection priorities. With multiple smaller parties (FDP, BSW, and sometimes SPD) also clustered near the barrier, outcomes hinge on turnout among undecided voters and any late tactical shifts. These narrow polling margins sustain trader balance between the 3-5 percent and 5-7 percent bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions