Recent polling from late August shows a fragmented Senate race in Maranhão, where voters select two candidates, producing technical ties among Roseana Sarney (MDB), Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) within the margin of error. High undecided and blank/null responses, combined with 11 total contenders, keep second-place outcomes fluid. Alliances have consolidated around gubernatorial tickets—Sarney and Rocha alongside Orleans Brandão, Fufuca and Bonfim with Eduardo Braide—while incumbents Rocha and Gama seek re-election amid notable rejection levels for leading names. An August federal police operation targeting Rocha adds uncertainty to his positioning. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with modest separation possible from regional turnout patterns, late consolidation, or further polling shifts ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Weverton Rocha 29%
Fufuca 28%
Lahesio Bonfim 20.8%
Roseana Sarney 20%
$29,499 Vol.
$29,499 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Weverton Rocha
29%
Fufuca
28%
Lahesio Bonfim
21%
Roseana Sarney
20%
Eliziane Gama
9%
Enilton Rodrigues
3%
Raimundo Moreira
2%
Wilson Leite
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Weverton Rocha 29%
Fufuca 28%
Lahesio Bonfim 20.8%
Roseana Sarney 20%
$29,499 Vol.
$29,499 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Weverton Rocha
$10,961 Vol.
29%
Fufuca
$5,006 Vol.
28%
Lahesio Bonfim
$1,566 Vol.
21%
Roseana Sarney
$7,798 Vol.
20%
Eliziane Gama
$1,302 Vol.
9%
Enilton Rodrigues
$483 Vol.
3%
Raimundo Moreira
$431 Vol.
2%
Wilson Leite
$443 Vol.
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$423 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$568 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$516 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows a fragmented Senate race in Maranhão, where voters select two candidates, producing technical ties among Roseana Sarney (MDB), Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) within the margin of error. High undecided and blank/null responses, combined with 11 total contenders, keep second-place outcomes fluid. Alliances have consolidated around gubernatorial tickets—Sarney and Rocha alongside Orleans Brandão, Fufuca and Bonfim with Eduardo Braide—while incumbents Rocha and Gama seek re-election amid notable rejection levels for leading names. An August federal police operation targeting Rocha adds uncertainty to his positioning. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with modest separation possible from regional turnout patterns, late consolidation, or further polling shifts ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$29,499End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows a fragmented Senate race in Maranhão, where voters select two candidates, producing technical ties among Roseana Sarney (MDB), Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) within the margin of error. High undecided and blank/null responses, combined with 11 total contenders, keep second-place outcomes fluid. Alliances have consolidated around gubernatorial tickets—Sarney and Rocha alongside Orleans Brandão, Fufuca and Bonfim with Eduardo Braide—while incumbents Rocha and Gama seek re-election amid notable rejection levels for leading names. An August federal police operation targeting Rocha adds uncertainty to his positioning. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with modest separation possible from regional turnout patterns, late consolidation, or further polling shifts ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$29,499End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August shows a fragmented Senate race in Maranhão, where voters select two candidates, producing technical ties among Roseana Sarney (MDB), Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) within the margin of error. High undecided and blank/null responses, combined with 11 total contenders, keep second-place outcomes fluid. Alliances have consolidated around gubernatorial tickets—Sarney and Rocha alongside Orleans Brandão, Fufuca and Bonfim with Eduardo Braide—while incumbents Rocha and Gama seek re-election amid notable rejection levels for leading names. An August federal police operation targeting Rocha adds uncertainty to his positioning. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with modest separation possible from regional turnout patterns, late consolidation, or further polling shifts ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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