Recent European model runs and observational data indicate Warsaw's August 28 minimum temperature will likely fall in the mid-teens Celsius amid a transitional high-pressure regime following cooler late-August patterns. Forecast ensembles show overnight lows near 14–18 °C under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation reducing radiative cooling variability. Subtle differences among ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance on the strength and timing of an approaching trough create the tight spread across temperature bins, while historical late-summer climatology for Warsaw centers around 15 °C. Updated model cycles and any overnight observational adjustments from Polish meteorological services will be key near-term catalysts ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 28?
9°C or below 100%
10°C 100%
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
100%
10°C
100%
11°C
100%
12°C
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C
100%
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C or higher
100%
9°C or below 100%
10°C 100%
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
10°C
$0 Vol.
100%
11°C
$0 Vol.
100%
12°C
$0 Vol.
100%
13°C
$0 Vol.
100%
14°C
$0 Vol.
100%
15°C
$0 Vol.
100%
16°C
$0 Vol.
100%
17°C
$0 Vol.
100%
18°C
$0 Vol.
100%
19°C or higher
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs and observational data indicate Warsaw's August 28 minimum temperature will likely fall in the mid-teens Celsius amid a transitional high-pressure regime following cooler late-August patterns. Forecast ensembles show overnight lows near 14–18 °C under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation reducing radiative cooling variability. Subtle differences among ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance on the strength and timing of an approaching trough create the tight spread across temperature bins, while historical late-summer climatology for Warsaw centers around 15 °C. Updated model cycles and any overnight observational adjustments from Polish meteorological services will be key near-term catalysts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs and observational data indicate Warsaw's August 28 minimum temperature will likely fall in the mid-teens Celsius amid a transitional high-pressure regime following cooler late-August patterns. Forecast ensembles show overnight lows near 14–18 °C under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation reducing radiative cooling variability. Subtle differences among ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance on the strength and timing of an approaching trough create the tight spread across temperature bins, while historical late-summer climatology for Warsaw centers around 15 °C. Updated model cycles and any overnight observational adjustments from Polish meteorological services will be key near-term catalysts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model runs and observational data indicate Warsaw's August 28 minimum temperature will likely fall in the mid-teens Celsius amid a transitional high-pressure regime following cooler late-August patterns. Forecast ensembles show overnight lows near 14–18 °C under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation reducing radiative cooling variability. Subtle differences among ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance on the strength and timing of an approaching trough create the tight spread across temperature bins, while historical late-summer climatology for Warsaw centers around 15 °C. Updated model cycles and any overnight observational adjustments from Polish meteorological services will be key near-term catalysts ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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