Forecast models from agencies including Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a likely daily minimum near 26–28°C in Taipei on August 27, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate moisture, variable cloud cover, and light southerly flow. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these thresholds because small differences in nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity, and the timing of any convective showers can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines average 25–27°C overnight, but recent model runs show limited spread in sea-surface temperatures and steering patterns, leaving little room for extremes below 24°C or above 29°C. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the 48-hour forecast window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 27?
27°C 39%
26°C 29%
28°C 28%
25°C 23%
22°C or below
13%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
23%
26°C
29%
27°C
39%
28°C
28%
29°C
22%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
16%
27°C 39%
26°C 29%
28°C 28%
25°C 23%
22°C or below
13%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
23%
26°C
29%
27°C
39%
28°C
28%
29°C
22%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a likely daily minimum near 26–28°C in Taipei on August 27, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate moisture, variable cloud cover, and light southerly flow. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these thresholds because small differences in nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity, and the timing of any convective showers can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines average 25–27°C overnight, but recent model runs show limited spread in sea-surface temperatures and steering patterns, leaving little room for extremes below 24°C or above 29°C. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the 48-hour forecast window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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