**Trader consensus has converged on 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in São Paulo on August 24, 2026, reflecting official station observations placing the daily minimum near 13–14°C amid cooler-than-average winter conditions.** Data from São Paulo monitoring sites show a minimum of approximately 13.2°C with an average of 14.3°C and maximum of 16.3°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal norms for late August where overnight lows typically range 12–15°C. This outcome aligns with verified measurements from authoritative sources such as INMET-affiliated stations, where slight variations in microclimate or rounding protocols support the 14°C threshold over adjacent values. The market-implied odds exceeding 99% indicate high confidence in these post-event reports, with minimal uncertainty from model revisions or data adjustments expected at this stage. Scenarios that could challenge the resolution remain limited, primarily involving final quality-controlled updates from primary weather agencies that might shift the exact minimum by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 24?
14°C 100.0%
12°C 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
9°C or below <1%
$6,411 Vol.
$6,411 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
12°C 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
9°C or below <1%
$6,411 Vol.
$6,411 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$1,341 Vol.
No
10°C
$1,407 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,690 Vol.
No
12°C
$37 Vol.
No
13°C
$146 Vol.
No
14°C
$61 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$301 Vol.
No
16°C
$267 Vol.
No
17°C
$265 Vol.
No
18°C
$295 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$601 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in São Paulo on August 24, 2026, reflecting official station observations placing the daily minimum near 13–14°C amid cooler-than-average winter conditions.** Data from São Paulo monitoring sites show a minimum of approximately 13.2°C with an average of 14.3°C and maximum of 16.3°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal norms for late August where overnight lows typically range 12–15°C. This outcome aligns with verified measurements from authoritative sources such as INMET-affiliated stations, where slight variations in microclimate or rounding protocols support the 14°C threshold over adjacent values. The market-implied odds exceeding 99% indicate high confidence in these post-event reports, with minimal uncertainty from model revisions or data adjustments expected at this stage. Scenarios that could challenge the resolution remain limited, primarily involving final quality-controlled updates from primary weather agencies that might shift the exact minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$6,411End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in São Paulo on August 24, 2026, reflecting official station observations placing the daily minimum near 13–14°C amid cooler-than-average winter conditions.** Data from São Paulo monitoring sites show a minimum of approximately 13.2°C with an average of 14.3°C and maximum of 16.3°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal norms for late August where overnight lows typically range 12–15°C. This outcome aligns with verified measurements from authoritative sources such as INMET-affiliated stations, where slight variations in microclimate or rounding protocols support the 14°C threshold over adjacent values. The market-implied odds exceeding 99% indicate high confidence in these post-event reports, with minimal uncertainty from model revisions or data adjustments expected at this stage. Scenarios that could challenge the resolution remain limited, primarily involving final quality-controlled updates from primary weather agencies that might shift the exact minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,411End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in São Paulo on August 24, 2026, reflecting official station observations placing the daily minimum near 13–14°C amid cooler-than-average winter conditions.** Data from São Paulo monitoring sites show a minimum of approximately 13.2°C with an average of 14.3°C and maximum of 16.3°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal norms for late August where overnight lows typically range 12–15°C. This outcome aligns with verified measurements from authoritative sources such as INMET-affiliated stations, where slight variations in microclimate or rounding protocols support the 14°C threshold over adjacent values. The market-implied odds exceeding 99% indicate high confidence in these post-event reports, with minimal uncertainty from model revisions or data adjustments expected at this stage. Scenarios that could challenge the resolution remain limited, primarily involving final quality-controlled updates from primary weather agencies that might shift the exact minimum by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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