Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models point to a low of 21–23°C in Qingdao on August 30, following two days of widespread rain and thunderstorms across Shandong that increased soil moisture and cloud cover. Clearing skies and moderate northerly winds of 3–4 Beaufort on the 30th are expected to enhance nocturnal radiational cooling along the Yellow Sea coast, where marine moderation typically keeps minima near the late-August climatological average of 22°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet traders assign the highest implied probability (45%) to 19°C or below, reflecting uncertainty over wind strength and exact timing of clearing that could allow deeper cooling below forecast guidance. Upcoming updates from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory will likely refine overnight wind and humidity trends ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
20°C 48%
25°C 48%
26°C 48%
27°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
45%
20°C
48%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
2%
25°C
48%
26°C
48%
27°C
48%
28°C
48%
29°C or higher
46%
20°C 48%
25°C 48%
26°C 48%
27°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
45%
20°C
$0 Vol.
48%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
48%
26°C
$0 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
48%
28°C
$0 Vol.
48%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models point to a low of 21–23°C in Qingdao on August 30, following two days of widespread rain and thunderstorms across Shandong that increased soil moisture and cloud cover. Clearing skies and moderate northerly winds of 3–4 Beaufort on the 30th are expected to enhance nocturnal radiational cooling along the Yellow Sea coast, where marine moderation typically keeps minima near the late-August climatological average of 22°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet traders assign the highest implied probability (45%) to 19°C or below, reflecting uncertainty over wind strength and exact timing of clearing that could allow deeper cooling below forecast guidance. Upcoming updates from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory will likely refine overnight wind and humidity trends ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models point to a low of 21–23°C in Qingdao on August 30, following two days of widespread rain and thunderstorms across Shandong that increased soil moisture and cloud cover. Clearing skies and moderate northerly winds of 3–4 Beaufort on the 30th are expected to enhance nocturnal radiational cooling along the Yellow Sea coast, where marine moderation typically keeps minima near the late-August climatological average of 22°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet traders assign the highest implied probability (45%) to 19°C or below, reflecting uncertainty over wind strength and exact timing of clearing that could allow deeper cooling below forecast guidance. Upcoming updates from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory will likely refine overnight wind and humidity trends ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models point to a low of 21–23°C in Qingdao on August 30, following two days of widespread rain and thunderstorms across Shandong that increased soil moisture and cloud cover. Clearing skies and moderate northerly winds of 3–4 Beaufort on the 30th are expected to enhance nocturnal radiational cooling along the Yellow Sea coast, where marine moderation typically keeps minima near the late-August climatological average of 22°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet traders assign the highest implied probability (45%) to 19°C or below, reflecting uncertainty over wind strength and exact timing of clearing that could allow deeper cooling below forecast guidance. Upcoming updates from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory will likely refine overnight wind and humidity trends ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions