Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a low near 66°F for Los Angeles on August 30, 2026, amid a gradual easing from recent heat driven by high pressure and weak onshore flow. Marine layer depth, sea breeze timing, and overnight radiational cooling will determine whether temperatures settle in the mid-60s or dip a degree or two lower, creating tight clustering around the 64–67°F bins. Historical August lows average near 65°F, but the current pattern shows limited model spread and no strong signals for extremes below 62°F or above 70°F. Updated NWS and ensemble runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 30?
78°F or higher 27%
66-67°F 26%
68-69°F 26%
62-63°F 25%
59°F or below
23%
60-61°F
21%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
19%
78°F or higher
27%
78°F or higher 27%
66-67°F 26%
68-69°F 26%
62-63°F 25%
59°F or below
23%
60-61°F
21%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
19%
78°F or higher
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a low near 66°F for Los Angeles on August 30, 2026, amid a gradual easing from recent heat driven by high pressure and weak onshore flow. Marine layer depth, sea breeze timing, and overnight radiational cooling will determine whether temperatures settle in the mid-60s or dip a degree or two lower, creating tight clustering around the 64–67°F bins. Historical August lows average near 65°F, but the current pattern shows limited model spread and no strong signals for extremes below 62°F or above 70°F. Updated NWS and ensemble runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions